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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - MONDAY, MARCH 28TH, 2011
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Indices NYSE Nasdaq
DOW  -22.71 12,197.88 -0.19% Volume 784,497,630 -5% Volume 1,631,327,070 -10%
NASDAQ -12.38 2,730.68 -0.45% Advancers 1,212 39% Advancers 1,106 40%
S&P 500 -3.61 1,310.19 -0.27% Decliners 1,792 57% Decliners 1,520 55%
Russell 2000 -2.08 821.77 -0.25% 52 Wk Highs 114   52 Wk Highs 107  
S&P 600 -1.27 434.93 -0.29% 52 Wk Lows 16   52 Wk Lows 22  

Weak Finish Leads To Quiet Close Lower For Indices

Volume totals on the NYSE and the Nasdaq exchange were anemic as Monday's session marked the lowest volume totals of this year thus far. Declining issues beat advancers by 4-3 on both the NYSE and the Nasdaq exchange. New 52-week highs outnumbered new 52-week lows on the Nasdaq exchange and on the NYSE. There were 59 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, down from a total of 89 on the prior session. On the Featured Stocks Page there were gains from 10 of the 20 high-ranked market leaders currently listed. 

 

After a good start, the major averages finished lower, led by weakness in the technology group. Telecom stocks were among the day's best performers. AT&T Inc (T +1.77%) rose on expectations shares may gain if the acquisition of T-Mobile is allowed to proceed. Oil service stocks were also winners, including Halliburton Co (HAL +4%), as investors anticipated increased drilling in Saudi Arabia.  Eastman Kodak Company (EK +5.29%) rallied after winning the latest round in a patent dispute. With a favorable outcome, the company could gain $1 billion in licensing fees. Hotel stocks were under pressure after Marriot International (MAR -6.27%) said North American demand is below expectations. And in merger news, Ebay Inc (EBAY -4.29%) announced it will buy GSI Commerce Inc (GSIC +50.67%) for $2.4 billion.

President Obama scheduled a Monday evening speech concerning the recent action in Libya. It is unlikely he might say anything to inspire greater confidence in the market, but the market hates uncertainty, and questions concerning US military involvement overseas may likely have contributed to the quieter trading volumes of late. The bullish action last week did not meet the strict definition of a follow-through day (FTD). However, recent signs of new leadership (increase in new 52-week highs) have suggested that the market has a healthy crop of strong leaders underpinning the latest rally effort. 

Last week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 Index, and the S&P Mid-Cap 400 and S&P Small-Cap 600 indexes collectively rallied back above their respective 50-day moving average (DMA) lines.  The S&P 500 Index is perched -2.5% off its recovery high. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index is now -3.9% off its recovery high and slumping back under its 50 DMA line after briefly recovering above that important short-term average.

PICTURED: The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed -1.6% off its recovery high.  Since the last down day with above average volume on March 16th, the institutional crowd has not shown signs of more worrisome distribution.


Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.

Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.


Retail Index Slumped Back Under 50-Day Average Amid Mixed Action

Defensive groups showed mixed action as the Healthcare Index ($HMO +0.72%) posted a small gain while the Gold & Silver Index ($XAU -1.45%) lost ground.  Energy-related shares were mixed as the Integrated Oil Index ($XOI -0.93%) fell and the Oil Services Index ($OSX +0.73%) gained ground. The Retail Index ($RLX -1.13%) and financial shares had a negative bias as the Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD -0.71%) and Bank Index ($BKX -0.37%) slumped.  Tech shares also were mixed as the Internet Index ($IIX -0.96%) fell and the Networking Index ($NWX +1.36%) rose, meanwhile the Biotechnology Index ($BTK -0.15%) and Semiconductor Index ($SOX +0.11%) were little changed.

Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com

PICTURED: The Retail Index's ($RLX -1.13%) loss today led to a slump back below its 50-day moving average line.


Industry Index Symbol Close Change % Change YTD % Change
Oil Services $OSX  291.40 +2.11 +0.73% +18.88%
Healthcare $HMO  2,110.99 +15.12 +0.72% +24.76%
Integrated Oil $XOI  1,360.72 -12.76 -0.93% +12.16%
Semiconductor $SOX  436.75 +0.48 +0.11% +6.05%
Networking $NWX  323.84 +4.36 +1.36% +15.43%
Internet $IIX  310.51 -3.00 -0.96% +0.90%
Broker/Dealer $XBD  119.66 -0.86 -0.71% -1.53%
Retail $RLX  505.82 -5.78 -1.13% -0.50%
Gold & Silver $XAU  211.54 -3.12 -1.45% -6.64%
Bank $BKX  51.63 -0.19 -0.37% -1.11%
Biotech $BTK  1,303.91 -1.99 -0.15% +0.48%


Quiet Pullback Following Breakout With Near Minimum Volume

In the 3/24/11 mid-day report this Redwood City, CA-based Computer Software - Database firm was highlighted in yellow and noted for having strong characteristics. Its sales revenues and earnings increases for the 3 most recent quarters (Jun, Sep, Dec '10) were above the +25% minimum guidelines and it has maintained a steady annual earnings (A criteria) history. The number of top-rated funds owning its shares rose from 634 in Mar '10 to 677 in Dec '10, a reassuring sign concerning the I criteria. Recent action has been encouraging, but 3 out of 4 stocks move in the direction of the major averages. A follow-through day (FTD) has thus far been elusive, and we have repeatedly noted that the M criteria remains a concern until a follow-through day provides a reassuring sign confirming that odds are most favorable for investors under the investment system's guidelines. 

Informatica Corp. (INFA -$1.02 or -1.98% to $50.45) pulled back today on lighter volume after 6 consecutive gains had helped it rally to new 52-week highs. It had triggered a technical buy signal as it rose with +42% above average volume (near the bare minimum volume increase per the investment system's guidelines for a proper technical buy signal) on 3/24/11 while breaking out from an orderly flat base pattern during which its 50-day moving average (DMA) line acted as support. 


Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our staff of experts.
G - Previously featured in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the guidelines.

***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
BIDU - NASDAQ
Baidu Inc Ads
INTERNET - Internet Information Providers  
$133.67 -1.25
-0.93%

$136.30

6,489,274
92.92% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 6,983,400
$136.49
-2.07%
3/17/2011 $121.97 PP = $131.73
MB = $138.32
Most Recent Note - 3/25/2011 11:55:01 AM
Y - Up today for a 5th consecutive gain and another new all-time high. Its gain with 2 times average volume on 3/23/11 triggered a technical buy signal after a riskier "late stage" set-up. The M criteria remains a concern until a follow-through day confirms the new rally and justifies new buying efforts under the system's strict guidelines. Prior high near $131 defines initial chart support to watch.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/9/2011. Click here.

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CMG - NYSE
Chipotle Mexican Grill
LEISURE - Restaurants  
$257.96 +1.22
0.48%

$263.53

1,012,554
93.92% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,078,100
$275.00
-6.20%
2/11/2011 $271.15 PP = $262.87
MB = $276.01
Most Recent Note - 3/25/2011 11:09:01 AM
G - Rising from support at its 50 DMA line with gains this week backed by light volume. Its recent low ($234.48 on 3/02/11) defines another important nearby level for chart readers to watch closely. Subsequent violations and damaging losses would raise greater concerns and trigger technical sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/14/2011. Click here.

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CTCT - NASDAQ
Constant Contact Inc
MEDIA - Advertising Services  
$33.38 -1.88
-5.33%

$36.13

695,965
180.16% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 386,300
$35.98
-7.23%
3/22/2011 $33.59 PP = $32.49
MB = $34.11
Most Recent Note - 3/28/2011 7:07:46 PM
G - Finished near the session low today after a negative reversal for a considerable loss on above average volume. Prior highs in the $32 area define support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/22/2011. Click here.

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CTSH - NASDAQ
Cognizant Tech Sol Cl A
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Business Software and Services  
$79.57 -0.46
-0.57%

$80.45

1,938,717
80.33% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,413,300
$81.17
-1.97%
2/7/2011 $75.09 PP = $76.46
MB = $80.28
Most Recent Note - 3/25/2011 11:15:48 AM
Y - Hitting another new 52-week high (N criteria) today, with no resistance remaining due to overhead supply. Volume on the prior session was only +11% above average while it rallied above its pivot point, not heavy enough to trigger a proper technical buy signal. Disciplined investors also know that a follow-through day (FTD) is needed to confirm the market direction (M criteria) is again favorable for new buying efforts.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/17/2011. Click here.

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DECK - NASDAQ
Deckers Outdoor Corp
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES - Textile - Apparel Footwear  
$83.37 +0.06
0.07%

$85.84

726,098
49.35% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,471,400
$94.70
-11.96%
2/3/2011 $79.61 PP = $82.67
MB = $86.80
Most Recent Note - 3/28/2011 3:48:51 PM
Y - Today's 4th consecutive gain with light volume has it continuing to rebound back above its 50 DMA line. Color code is changed to yellow based on its resilience after slumping below its latest pivot point, but it has not formed a sound new base. Its recent low ($77.71 on 3/21/11) defines the next important chart support level.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/3/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
EZPW - NASDAQ
Ezcorp Inc Cl A
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$31.32 +0.14
0.45%

$31.62

246,723
62.52% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 394,600
$31.80
-1.51%
2/18/2011 $27.94 PP = $30.04
MB = $31.54
Most Recent Note - 3/25/2011 1:06:04 PM
G - Gapped up again today and rallied above its "max buy" level. Color code is changed to green after getting extended from its latest base. As previously noted - "A follow-through day from at least one of the major averages (M criteria) is also necessary in order to justify new (or add-on) buying efforts under the system's guidelines."
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/10/2011. Click here.

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FOSL - NASDAQ
Fossil Inc
CONSUMER DURABLES - Recreational Goods, Other  
$88.25 -0.28
-0.32%

$89.20

697,014
72.49% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 961,500
$89.42
-1.31%
2/1/2011 $73.30 PP = $74.44
MB = $78.16
Most Recent Note - 3/25/2011 10:31:43 AM
G - Up today for a 5th consecutive gain and another new all-time high, getting more extended from any sound base. Support to watch is at its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/24/2011. Click here.

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HMSY - NASDAQ
H M S Holdings Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Healthcare Information Service  
$81.33 -0.21
-0.26%

$82.16

153,063
91.38% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 167,500
$83.98
-3.16%
11/19/2010 $61.89 PP = $63.01
MB = $66.16
Most Recent Note - 3/25/2011 11:51:16 PM
G - Hit a new 52-week high today but reversed and closed near the session low. It has endured distributional pressure while advancing in recent weeks, and it is extended from any sound base pattern. See the latest FSU analysis for additional details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/25/2011. Click here.

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HS - NYSE
Healthspring Inc
HEALTH SERVICES - Health Care Plans  
$36.85 +0.25
0.68%

$37.11

1,238,329
173.07% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 715,500
$39.19
-5.97%
3/22/2011 $38.29 PP = $38.85
MB = $40.79
Most Recent Note - 3/28/2011 7:17:04 PM
G - Held its ground today. Gapped down on 3/25/11 after pricing a new Public Offering of 7.5 million shares, holding its ground near recent lows and well above its 50 DMA line. It failed to convincingly rally for a close above its pivot point after touching a new 52-week high on 3/22/11, and its color code was changed to green after slumping more than -7% below its pivot point.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/23/2011. Click here.

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INFA - NASDAQ
Informatica Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Business Software and Services  
$50.45 -1.02
-1.98%

$51.71

659,676
66.62% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 990,200
$51.97
-2.92%
3/24/2011 $50.04 PP = $49.86
MB = $52.35
Most Recent Note - 3/28/2011 7:30:12 PM
Y - Today's loss on lighter volume followed 6 consecutive gains. Prior highs in the $49 area define initial support to watch. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/28/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
LULU - NASDAQ
Lululemon Athletica
MANUFACTURING - Textile Manufacturing  
$85.27 +6.63
8.43%

$86.00

6,011,029
294.74% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,039,400
$85.28
-0.01%
3/28/2011 $68.11 PP = $85.38
MB = $89.65
Most Recent Note - 3/28/2011 7:14:06 PM
Y - Considerable gain today with above average volume for a new 52-week high, but it failed to close above its pivot point for a convincing technical buy signal. Confirming gains with volume would be a reassurance to watch for, otherwise it is likely that prior highs may act as resistance. Color code was changed to yellow with new pivot point based on its 52-week high plus 10 cents after a new base-on-base pattern. The M criteria remains a concern, yet healthy leadership (new 52-week highs) has recently been a reassuring sign.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/25/2011. Click here.

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MG - NYSE
Mistras Group Inc
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Bulding and Faci;ity Management Services  
$17.11 +0.00
0.00%

$17.19

72,533
70.76% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 102,500
$17.23
-0.70%
3/15/2011 $15.48 PP = $15.90
MB = $16.70
Most Recent Note - 3/25/2011 5:05:59 PM
G - Inched up for another new high today after stubbornly holding its ground. It is getting more extended from a sound base pattern. Prior highs and its 50 DMA line define important support to watch.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/15/2011. Click here.

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MWIV - NASDAQ
M W I Veterinary Supply
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Instruments and; Supplies  
$77.90 +2.56
3.40%

$77.95

107,214
115.28% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 93,000
$78.48
-0.74%
11/4/2010 $61.79 PP = $59.60
MB = $62.58
Most Recent Note - 3/28/2011 3:38:05 PM
G - Gain today has it poised for its second highest close ever. Consolidating in a tight range for the past 3 weeks, extended from any sound base pattern.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/8/2011. Click here.

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OPEN - NASDAQ
Opentable Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$104.29 +2.60
2.56%

$106.15

1,279,363
114.35% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,118,800
$103.73
0.54%
3/17/2011 $90.71 PP = $96.07
MB = $100.87
Most Recent Note - 3/28/2011 1:52:57 PM
G - Up again today for another new all-time high, getting more extended from its recently noted new base. Its prior high near $96 defines initial support to watch following its latest technical breakout.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/24/2011. Click here.

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PAY - NYSE
Verifone Systems Inc
COMPUTER HARDWARE - Transaction Automation Systems  
$54.88 +2.08
3.94%

$56.00

2,645,659
140.35% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,885,000
$54.04
1.55%
1/27/2011 $41.77 PP = $44.97
MB = $47.22
Most Recent Note - 3/28/2011 1:49:34 PM
G - Up today for another new all-time high. Repeatedly noted - "No resistance remains due to overhead supply, but it is extended from a sound base pattern. Its 50 DMA line defines chart support to watch."
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/2/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
PCLN - NASDAQ
Priceline.Com Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$483.99 -3.01
-0.62%

$491.36

771,326
66.02% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,168,300
$490.39
-1.31%
1/3/2011 $399.55 PP = $428.20
MB = $449.61
Most Recent Note - 3/25/2011 11:20:55 PM
G - Rose to a new 52-week high with a third consecutive gain on average volume, getting extended from any sound base pattern. Its 50 DMA line has defined support.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/21/2011. Click here.

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RAX - NYSE
Rackspace Hosting Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and; Services  
$38.80 +0.26
0.67%

$39.30

1,130,988
63.50% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,781,200
$40.62
-4.48%
3/16/2011 $36.28 PP = $40.72
MB = $42.76
Most Recent Note - 3/25/2011 10:41:57 AM
Y - Approaching its 52-week high and pivot point on the right side of an orderly 7-week flat base after finding support at its 50 DMA line. This high-ranked leader has strong fundamental and technical characteristics, and a breakout with volume may trigger a buy signal, however the M criteria is still an overriding concern.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/16/2011. Click here.

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TIBX - NASDAQ
Tibco Software Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Business Software and Services  
$26.13 -0.21
-0.80%

$26.63

3,215,063
133.18% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,414,000
$26.77
-2.39%
3/18/2011 $23.88 PP = $26.04
MB = $27.34
Most Recent Note - 3/28/2011 3:42:01 PM
Y - Holding its ground near its 52-week high, clear of all resistance, however volume as it rallied above its pivot point last week did not meet the minimum guideline to trigger a proper technical buy signal. The M criteria also remains an overriding concern for disciplined investors until the rally attempt is confirmed with a follow-through day from at least one of the major averages.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/18/2011. Click here.

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UA - NYSE
Under Armour Inc Cl A
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES - Textile - Apparel Clothing  
$65.11 -0.68
-1.03%

$66.69

498,071
62.31% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 799,400
$70.69
-7.89%
1/27/2011 $58.31 PP = $56.99
MB = $59.84
Most Recent Note - 3/25/2011 11:20:49 AM
G - Quietly holding its ground this week above its 50 DMA line and recent lows defining important chart support. It may be forming a base-on-base pattern, but more damaging losses would hurt its outlook.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/7/2011. Click here.

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ULTA - NASDAQ
Ulta Salon Cosm & Frag
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$47.94 +0.29
0.61%

$48.67

325,805
52.59% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 619,500
$48.45
-1.05%
1/6/2011 $36.12 PP = $37.34
MB = $39.21
Most Recent Note - 3/25/2011 11:22:23 AM
G - Quietly touched a new all-time high today. Stubbornly holding its ground after a spurt of volume-driven gains. Support to watch is at its 50 DMA line and recent chart lows near the $40 level.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/17/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
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Max Buy

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