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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - FRIDAY, MARCH 4TH, 2011
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Indices NYSE Nasdaq
DOW  -88.32 12,169.88 -0.72% Volume 1,038,585,980 -3% Volume 1,931,595,700 -0%
NASDAQ -14.07 2,784.67 -0.50% Advancers 1,031 33% Advancers 919 33%
S&P 500 -9.82 1,321.15 -0.74% Decliners 1,949 63% Decliners 1,712 62%
Russell 2000 -3.90 824.99 -0.47% 52 Wk Highs 152   52 Wk Highs 110  
S&P 600 -1.50 436.23 -0.34% 52 Wk Lows 14   52 Wk Lows 23  

Late Afternoon Recovery Helps Indices End Week Higher

For the week, the Dow finished up 39 points, or +0.3%. The S&P 500 Index gained one point for the week, or +0.1%. The Nasdaq Composite Index finished up 3 points for the week, or +0.1%. The major averages trimmed their losses in the final hour on Friday, otherwise they would have ended the week in the red. The volume totals reported on the NYSE and the Nasdaq exchange were near the prior session's totals yet lighter, suggesting that institutional investors were not very aggressively selling shares. Declining issues beat advancers by nearly 2-1 on both the NYSE and the Nasdaq exchange.  New 52-week highs outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. There was a total of 64 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, down from a total of 83 on the prior session. On the Featured Stocks Page there was a positive bias shown by high-ranked market leaders, with gains from 13 of the 22 companies listed. In contrast, only 4 of the Dow's 30 components posted gains.

 

A new report on jobs failed to lift spirits, even though the unemployment rate dropped to 8.9% in February, less than expected and the lowest rate since April of 2009. However, a gain of 192,000 in non-farm payrolls failed to exceed the highest predictions, and wages remained flat, adding to fears that consumers are losing ground against inflation. Rising energy prices sparked concerns as oil closed at 29-month high, rallying above $104 per barrel on news of heavy fighting in Libya near oil installations. The market paid little attention to a January report on factory activity. Factory orders rose 3.1%, the most in four years. 

Financial and industrial stocks led decliners. Goldman Sachs (
GS -2.12%) slumped following an analyst downgrade, and Citigroup Inc (C -2.99%) also slid. Monster Worldwide, Inc. (MWW -6.42%) also slumped after an analyst downgrade. Marvell Technology group Ltd (MRVL -11.47%) shares fell after earnings missed expectations. Agilent Technologies Inc. (A +9.18%) blasted to a new high on very heavy volume, however the downturn in its FY '09 earnings has been a noted flaw concerning the A criteria.

The recent expansion in leadership (new highs) has been noted as a reassuring sign that the market's rally may still have some legs. However, any additional distribution days in the near term could prove more damaging and may lead to a more substantial correction for the major averages. New buying efforts should be cautiously and carefully made, only when all of the investment system's key criteria are met.  As always, limit losses if ever a stock falls more than -7% from your purchase price.

PICTURED: The Nasdaq Composite Index recently rallied within 1% of its October 2007 high. Subsequent gains above that threshold could give stocks additional upward momentum.


Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.

Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.


Financial Indexes' Negative Bias Puts a Drag on Market

Financial shares ended the week slumping as the Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD -1.81%) and Bank Index ($BKX -1.45%) both sputtered below their 50-day moving average (DMA) lines near their recent chart lows.  The tech sector was mixed as the Semiconductor Index ($SOX -1.07%) and Internet Index ($IIX -0.66%) each lost ground while the Biotechnology Index ($BTK +0.33%) and Networking Index ($NWX +0.70%) posted small gains. The Healthcare Index ($HMO -0.60%) and Retail Index ($RLX -0.52%) gave back some of their recently gained ground. Energy-related shares also cooled as the Integrated Oil Index ($XOI -0.48%) and Oil Services Index ($OSX -0.69%) finished lower on Friday, meanwhile the Gold & Silver Index ($XAU +0.37%) posted a small gain. 

Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com

PICTURED: The Networking Index ($NWX +0.70%) rallied to a new recovery high and has been leading the tech sector indices higher.


Industry Index Symbol Close Change % Change YTD % Change
Oil Services $OSX  291.09 -2.02 -0.69% +18.75%
Healthcare $HMO  2,077.73 -12.61 -0.60% +22.80%
Integrated Oil $XOI  1,368.93 -6.61 -0.48% +12.84%
Semiconductor $SOX  459.82 -4.95 -1.07% +11.66%
Networking $NWX  336.84 +2.33 +0.70% +20.06%
Internet $IIX  319.57 -2.14 -0.66% +3.85%
Broker/Dealer $XBD  123.42 -2.27 -1.81% +1.57%
Retail $RLX  511.71 -2.68 -0.52% +0.66%
Gold & Silver $XAU  215.86 +0.80 +0.37% -4.73%
Bank $BKX  52.27 -0.77 -1.45% +0.11%
Biotech $BTK  1,298.60 +4.34 +0.33% +0.07%


Strong Semiconductor Firm Attracting Top-Rated Funds

Cirrus Logic Inc (CRUS -$0.57 or -2.68% to $20.72) is now perched only -3.6% off its 52-week high after recently finding support above prior chart resistance and its 10-week moving average (WMA) line. Its recent low (2/23/11 low $21.17) and much earlier high close ($20.54 on 7/26/10) define chart support to watch along with its 50-day moving average (DMA) line.

After it was last analyzed in the Featured Stock Update (FSU) section on 1/28/11 with an annotated daily graph under the headline "No Overhead Supply After Reverse-Head-And-Shoulders Pattern" it rallied with more volume-driven gains for new 52-week highs (N criteria). One may consider it a valid secondary buy point to accumulate shares between a stock's first test (after a sound technical breakout) of its 10 WMA line anywhere up to 5% above its latest high ($25.48 X 1.05 = $26.75). In this case, a close look at its weekly graph below shows that CRUS did not quite pull back enough to touch the 10 WMA line, yet it appears to be building a bullish base-on-base type pattern.  Always limit losses by selling if a stock ever falls more than -7% from your purchase price.

The number of top-rated funds owning its shares gradually rose from 338 in Mar '10 to 372 in Dec '10. Its current Up/Down Volume Ratio of 2.1 also provides an unbiased indication of institutional (I criteria) accumulation.  CRUS found support near its 200-day moving average (DMA) line during its deep consolidation since it was noted in the mid-day report on 7/23/10 with cautionary remarks. Quarterly sales revenues and earnings increases in quarterly comparisons versus the year ago period have shown impressive increases. One concern is that its annual earnings (A criteria) history was up and down in the past (see red oval around FY '08), but earnings came in strong for FY '09 and '10.


Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our staff of experts.
G - Previously featured in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the guidelines.

***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
BIDU - NASDAQ
Baidu Inc Ads
INTERNET - Internet Information Providers  
$122.34 +0.49
0.40%

$123.58

4,478,103
66.96% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 6,687,600
$131.63
-7.06%
2/1/2011 $117.74 PP = $112.08
MB = $117.68
Most Recent Note - 3/3/2011 4:23:57 PM
G - Recent gains have been backed by below average volume. Its 50 DMA line and 2/23/11 low define important chart support levels to watch.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/2/2011. Click here.

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CMG - NYSE
Chipotle Mexican Grill
LEISURE - Restaurants  
$255.00 +8.15
3.30%

$255.94

1,191,932
116.15% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,026,200
$275.00
-7.27%
2/11/2011 $271.15 PP = $262.87
MB = $276.01
Most Recent Note - 3/4/2011 4:10:13 PM
G - Up for a 3rd consecutive gain since finding support at its 50 DMA line and prior highs in the $237 area. A violation and damaging loss would raise greater concerns and trigger a technical sell signal.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/11/2011. Click here.

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CRUS - NASDAQ
Cirrus Logic Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Specialized  
$24.56 -0.42
-1.68%

$25.15

3,424,546
100.36% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 3,412,200
$25.48
-3.61%
1/28/2011 $20.69 PP = $19.17
MB = $20.13
Most Recent Note - 3/4/2011 4:26:19 PM
G - Perched -3.6% off its 52-week high after recently finding support above prior chart resistance. Its recent low (2/23/11 low $21.17) and much earlier high close ($20.54 on 7/26/10) define chart support to watch along with its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/4/2011. Click here.

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CTSH - NASDAQ
Cognizant Tech Sol Cl A
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Business Software and Services  
$76.32 -0.52
-0.68%

$76.98

1,582,482
72.38% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,186,300
$77.74
-1.83%
2/7/2011 $75.09 PP = $76.46
MB = $80.28
Most Recent Note - 3/3/2011 4:03:37 PM
Y - Up today on lighter volume, rising from support at its 50 DMA line. No overhead supply remains to hinder its progress. It stalled after its 2/08/11 breakout with bare minimum volume. Subsequent confirming gains for new highs with above average volume would be a welcome reassurance of institutional accumulation.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/8/2011. Click here.

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DECK - NASDAQ
Deckers Outdoor Corp
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES - Textile - Apparel Footwear  
$87.18 +0.94
1.09%

$87.20

1,059,194
64.97% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,630,400
$94.70
-7.94%
2/3/2011 $79.61 PP = $82.67
MB = $86.80
Most Recent Note - 3/3/2011 4:44:18 PM
G - Posted 2 consecutive gains on light or near average volume after recent losses on above average volume. Churning above average volume action without meaningful price progress has been noted as indicative of distributional pressure following its 2/17/11 technical breakout. Support to watch is at its pivot point and 50 DMA line (now $81.68).
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/3/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
EBIX - NASDAQ
Ebix Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Business Software and Services  
$28.90 +0.19
0.66%

$29.61

884,708
170.33% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 519,400
$29.08
-0.62%
2/28/2011 $25.70 PP = $25.97
MB = $27.27
Most Recent Note - 3/4/2011 12:10:13 PM
G - Today it touched another new 52-week high. Color code was changed to green after getting extended beyond the "max buy" level +5% above the pivot point recently cited. Prior highs in the $25-26 area define initial support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/28/2011. Click here.

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EZCH - NASDAQ
Ezchip Semiconductor Ltd
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Specialized  
$30.22 -0.03
-0.10%

$30.35

158,433
41.17% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 384,800
$33.48
-9.74%
12/2/2010 $27.53 PP = $26.00
MB = $27.30
Most Recent Note - 3/3/2011 4:16:49 PM
G - Today's gain on light volume has it challenging its 50 DMA line which has recently acted as resistance while volume totals have cooled. A convincing rebound above its short-term average would help its outlook, meanwhile it faces overhead supply up through the $33 area which may hinder its ability to rally.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/1/2011. Click here.

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EZPW - NASDAQ
Ezcorp Inc Cl A
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$28.96 -0.43
-1.46%

$29.68

236,021
62.80% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 375,800
$29.94
-3.27%
2/18/2011 $27.94 PP = $30.04
MB = $31.54
Most Recent Note - 3/3/2011 4:18:41 PM
Y - Up again on light volume today for its third-best close ever, perched -1.9% off its 52-week high and just above its 50 DMA line and showing resilience. Subsequent gains with heavy volume above its pivot point may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Recent low ($25.56 on 1/25/11) defines an important support level now.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/3/2011. Click here.

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FOSL - NASDAQ
Fossil Inc
CONSUMER DURABLES - Recreational Goods, Other  
$80.83 +0.50
0.62%

$80.85

1,389,218
166.83% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 832,700
$83.68
-3.41%
2/1/2011 $73.30 PP = $74.44
MB = $78.16
Most Recent Note - 3/4/2011 12:21:33 PM
G - It is extended from its prior base now after dipping below its "max buy" level. It found support at its 50 DMA line while consolidating above prior resistance in the $74 area.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/24/2011. Click here.

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GSIT - NASDAQ
G S I Technology Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Broad Line  
$9.61 +0.12
1.26%

$9.66

95,498
39.71% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 240,500
$10.20
-5.78%
2/18/2011 $10.08 PP = $10.25
MB = $10.76
Most Recent Note - 3/3/2011 4:05:05 PM
G - Small gap up gain today on very light volume. Recently halted its slide at its 50 DMA line, an important chart support level. A subsequent rally for a close above its 2/18/11 close ($9.78) would help its outlook following its gap down on 2/22/11 and damaging losses on higher volume.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/18/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
HMSY - NASDAQ
H M S Holdings Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Healthcare Information Service  
$79.13 +1.67
2.16%

$79.78

228,431
145.87% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 156,600
$77.88
1.61%
11/19/2010 $61.89 PP = $63.01
MB = $66.16
Most Recent Note - 3/4/2011 4:30:24 PM
G - Up on above average volume today for a new all-time high with its 21st gain in 23 sessions. Extended from any sound base pattern. Support to watch is defined by prior chart highs and its 50 DMA line in the $67 area.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/16/2011. Click here.

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JOBS - NASDAQ
Fifty One Job Inc Ads
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Staffing and; Outsourcing Service  
$60.36 -0.24
-0.40%

$61.18

123,980
99.18% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 125,000
$64.55
-6.49%
2/7/2011 $59.23 PP = $61.38
MB = $64.45
Most Recent Note - 3/3/2011 3:46:54 PM
Y - Up today with above average volume, poised to possibly finish at a new high close. It has been repeatedly noted - "A subsequent rally to new highs with above average volume may confirm a new buy signal, meanwhile its recent low ($52.58 on 1/28/11) defines another important support level below its 50 DMA line where violations would raise serious concerns and trigger technical sell signals."
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/7/2011. Click here.

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LULU - NASDAQ
Lululemon Athletica
MANUFACTURING - Textile Manufacturing  
$77.26 +1.60
2.11%

$77.50

1,595,793
82.05% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,944,900
$85.28
-9.40%
1/26/2011 $68.11 PP = $74.70
MB = $78.44
Most Recent Note - 3/4/2011 4:20:43 PM
Y - Posted a second small gain on light volume after finding support at its 50 DMA line. A violation of that important short-term average may trigger a technical sell signal. A close below a significant prior high close ($73.51 on 12/21/10) would completely negate its latest breakout, raising more serious concerns.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/25/2011. Click here.

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MWIV - NASDAQ
M W I Veterinary Supply
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Instruments and; Supplies  
$71.58 +0.36
0.51%

$71.62

89,240
124.46% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 71,700
$72.27
-0.95%
11/4/2010 $61.79 PP = $59.60
MB = $62.58
Most Recent Note - 3/3/2011 4:00:29 PM
G - Up today with below above average volume, poised for its second best close ever. Found support near prior highs and its 50 DMA line recently but did not build a sound new base pattern.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/2/2011. Click here.

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NFLX - NASDAQ
Netflix Inc
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Music and Video Stores  
$210.72 +7.35
3.61%

$211.28

6,292,356
121.84% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 5,164,600
$247.55
-14.88%
1/10/2011 $187.88 PP = $209.34
MB = $219.81
Most Recent Note - 3/3/2011 4:41:08 PM
Down for an 11th loss in 12 sessions, lagging on today's widely positive session and closing -17.8% off its high. Based on weakness it will be dropped from the Featured Stocks list tonight. It has thus far found support at its 50 DMA line, however deterioration has led to closes below its significant prior high close ($205.90 on 11/30/10), raising some concerns.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/23/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
OPEN - NASDAQ
Opentable Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$89.99 +0.88
0.99%

$90.47

796,864
77.79% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,024,400
$95.97
-6.23%
1/5/2011 $74.05 PP = $76.79
MB = $80.63
Most Recent Note - 3/3/2011 3:50:53 PM
G - Gapped up today, rising with above average volume. Found support above prior resistance near $82 and above its 50 DMA line, but it has not built any recent sound base pattern.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/15/2011. Click here.

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ORCL - NASDAQ
Oracle Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Application Software  
$32.77 -0.26
-0.79%

$33.10

19,148,529
82.14% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 23,311,300
$33.71
-2.80%
1/20/2011 $32.31 PP = $32.37
MB = $33.99
Most Recent Note - 3/3/2011 3:53:16 PM
Y - Gapped up today after finding prompt support near its 50 DMA line. Its prior low previously noted ($30.80 on 1/10/11) defines the next important chart support level to watch.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/22/2011. Click here.

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PAY - NYSE
Verifone Systems Inc
COMPUTER HARDWARE - Transaction Automation Systems  
$49.91 +1.32
2.72%

$50.17

2,015,488
125.54% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,605,500
$49.91
0.00%
1/27/2011 $41.77 PP = $44.97
MB = $47.22
Most Recent Note - 3/4/2011 4:13:33 PM
G - Hit new 52-week high and all-time highs today and finished strong with its 3rd consecutive gain with above average volume. No resistance remains due to overhead supply, but it is extended from a sound base pattern. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/2/2011. Click here.

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PCLN - NASDAQ
Priceline.Com Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$469.13 +4.34
0.93%

$469.74

1,346,761
123.76% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,088,200
$469.40
-0.06%
1/3/2011 $399.55 PP = $428.20
MB = $449.61
Most Recent Note - 3/4/2011 4:18:31 PM
G - Up for a 3rd consecutive gain today with above average volume, hitting a new 52-week high. It is extended from a sound base, and found impressive support near its 50 DMA line in recent months .
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/14/2011. Click here.

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RAX - NYSE
Rackspace Hosting Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and; Services  
$37.78 -0.11
-0.29%

$38.30

930,079
52.23% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,780,800
$40.62
-6.99%
1/10/2011 $22.84 PP = $32.76
MB = $34.40
Most Recent Note - 3/3/2011 3:58:58 PM
G - Up today on below average volume, now perched -7% off its all-time high. Consolidating just above prior highs near $35 previously noted as defining support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/9/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
TIBX - NASDAQ
Tibco Software Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Business Software and Services  
$25.13 -0.21
-0.81%

$25.39

1,307,632
48.48% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,697,500
$25.94
-3.14%
2/1/2011 $24.35 PP = $22.18
MB = $23.29
Most Recent Note - 3/3/2011 11:13:15 AM
G - Gapped up today, rallying near its 52-week high. Found support above prior highs in the $22 area and well above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/10/2011. Click here.

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UA - NYSE
Under Armour Inc Cl A
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES - Textile - Apparel Clothing  
$67.33 +0.77
1.16%

$67.48

634,123
87.26% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 726,700
$70.43
-4.40%
1/27/2011 $58.31 PP = $56.99
MB = $59.84
Most Recent Note - 3/3/2011 3:48:07 PM
G - Small gap up today, still quietly consolidating well above prior resistance and its 50 DMA line in the $60 area that define chart support to watch. It has not formed any recent sound base pattern.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/1/2011. Click here.

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ULTA - NASDAQ
Ulta Salon Cosm & Frag
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$41.98 -0.27
-0.64%

$42.22

582,720
124.04% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 469,800
$44.06
-4.72%
1/6/2011 $36.12 PP = $37.34
MB = $39.21
Most Recent Note - 3/3/2011 4:21:02 PM
G - Gain on light volume today, finishing -4.2% off its all-time high. It has not built a sound new base pattern. Prior highs in the $37-38 area define chart support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/17/2011. Click here.

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