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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - WEDNESDAY, MARCH 2ND, 2011
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Indices NYSE Nasdaq
DOW  +8.78 12,066.80 +0.07% Volume 1,024,996,230 -13% Volume 1,939,519,260 -10%
NASDAQ +10.66 2,748.07 +0.39% Advancers 1,884 61% Advancers 1,466 53%
S&P 500 +2.11 1,308.44 +0.16% Decliners 1,112 36% Decliners 1,176 43%
Russell 2000 +3.82 810.90 +0.47% 52 Wk Highs 73   52 Wk Highs 62  
S&P 600 +1.52 427.75 +0.36% 52 Wk Lows 18   52 Wk Lows 45  

Market Averages End Higher With Less Volume Conviction

The market zig-zagged through the session on Wednesday and concluded the day with small gains for the major averages. Advancing issues beat decliners by 3-2 on the NYSE and by 5-4 on the Nasdaq exchange. Volume totals were reported lighter on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange, a sign that institutional investors were not aggressively accumulating shares. New 52-week highs outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. There was a total of 25 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, down from a total of 36 on the prior session. On the Featured Stocks Page there were gains from 15 of the 23 high-ranked market leaders.

 

The tone of the market improved following Tuesday's sell-off. A report on the labor market was better than expected. ADP's monthly report estimated the addition of 217,000 private payrolls in February. Analysts were looking for a gain of 180,000. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke, in his second day of testimony about the economy on Capitol Hill, refused to rule out another round of Fed easing. The Federal Reserve released its Beige Book report on economic conditions and said labor market conditions across the country continue to show modest strength.

The price of gold hit a new record high. The price of oil climbed to a 29-month high as crude jumped above $102 a barrel as violence in Libya continued. An Energy Department report also showed oil and gasoline supplies fell unexpectedly last week.

Semiconductor stocks were a standout as the group benefited from an analyst upgrade of the sector. Texas Instruments (TXN +3.26%) was among many chip makers that rose. Apple Inc (AAPL +0.8%) inched higher after chief executive Steve Jobs made his first public appearance since taking medical leave to introduce the latest iPad tablet. Tivo Inc (TIVO -9.06%) reported earnings that missed forecasts. MetLife (MET -5.7%) sank after announcing several big offerings of shares.

Damaging losses coupled with waning leadership have recently put the latest rally for the major averages (M criteria) under pressure. Typically, 3 out of 4 stocks move in the same direction as the major averages. Investors should be mindful to protect hard-earned profits, limit losses, and stand ready to raise portfolio cash levels if more damaging losses occur.

PICTURED: The S&P Smallcap 600 Index has been testing support at its 50-day moving average line. Below that important short-term average the next level of chart support to watch is at prior lows in the 410 area.


Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.

Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.


Tech, Healthcare, and Energy Groups Led Gainers

The Networking Index ($NWX +2.39%) and Semiconductor Index ($SOX +1.40%) led the tech sector with a positive bias, followed by smaller gains from the Biotechnology Index ($BTK +0.78%) and Internet Index ($IIX +0.46%). The Retail Index ($RLX +0.62%) also ended modestly higher, but the influential financial group still struggled as the Bank Index ($BKX -0.31%) and Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD +0.11%) ended mixed.  The Healthcare Index ($HMO +1.50%) posted a solid gain. Energy-related shares rose as the Oil Services Index ($OSX +1.73%) and Integrated Oil Index ($XOI +0.50%) tallied gains, meanwhile the Gold & Silver Index ($XAU +0.01%) ended unchanged.  

Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com

PICTURED: The Healthcare Index ($HMO +1.50%) has shown a strong upward trend this year thus far.


Industry Index Symbol Close Change % Change YTD % Change
Oil Services $OSX  288.25 +4.90 +1.73% +17.60%
Healthcare $HMO  2,032.25 +30.03 +1.50% +20.11%
Integrated Oil $XOI  1,352.27 +6.77 +0.50% +11.47%
Semiconductor $SOX  456.09 +6.31 +1.40% +10.75%
Networking $NWX  326.78 +7.64 +2.39% +16.48%
Internet $IIX  316.36 +1.45 +0.46% +2.80%
Broker/Dealer $XBD  123.16 +0.13 +0.11% +1.35%
Retail $RLX  508.52 +3.14 +0.62% +0.03%
Gold & Silver $XAU  217.29 +0.03 +0.01% -4.10%
Bank $BKX  52.03 -0.16 -0.31% -0.34%
Biotech $BTK  1,286.32 +9.97 +0.78% -0.87%


Gap Up Gain Followed Another Strong Earnings Report

Verifone Systems Inc (PAY  +$3.84 or +8.61% to $48.45) gapped up today after reporting earnings +65% on +27% sales revenues for the quarter ended January 31, 2011 versus the year-ago period. Its color code was changed to green after again getting extended from a sound base. Since its last appearance on 1/27/11 in this FSU section with detailed analysis and an annotated graph under the headline "Ascending Base Pattern Formed After +84% Rally" it found prompt support at its 50-day moving average (DMA) line.  Then it blasted higher on 2/14/11 with heavy volume triggering a technical buy signal, but it quickly got extended beyond its "max buy" level.  During its subsequent consolidation its color code had been changed to yellow while it found support near its prior highs and well above 50 DMA line.

The number of top-rated funds owning its shares rose from 380 in March '10 to 565 in December 2010, a nice reassurance concerning the I criteria. It has traded up +105.4% from its price when it was featured on 8/25/10 in yellow at $24.30 in that day's mid-day report (read here) while then rising from a cup-with-handle base.

The downward turn in FY '08 annual earnings (A criteria) was previously noted as a concern, yet its recent bullish action and accelerating sales revenues and earnings growth in recent quarterly comparisons provided reassuring signs. Additionally, leadership (new highs) from other electronic payment-related firms has recently provided reassurances with respect to the L criteria of the fact-based system, even though the Finance - Credit Card Payment Processing group currently has a mediocre Group RS rating of 40

 
 


Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our staff of experts.
G - Previously featured in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the guidelines.

***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
BIDU - NASDAQ
Baidu Inc Ads
INTERNET - Internet Information Providers  
$119.49 +1.66
1.41%

$120.23

3,716,450
52.99% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 7,013,200
$131.63
-9.22%
2/1/2011 $117.74 PP = $112.08
MB = $117.68
Most Recent Note - 3/1/2011 4:14:15 PM
G - Gapped down today for a loss on higher (but below average) volume following 3 consecutive gains on below average volume. Damaging losses with higher than average volume recently led to a slump near prior highs in the $112-115 area previously noted as defining initial chart support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/2/2011. Click here.

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CMG - NYSE
Chipotle Mexican Grill
LEISURE - Restaurants  
$242.82 +1.67
0.69%

$243.38

1,008,002
98.22% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,026,300
$275.00
-11.70%
2/11/2011 $271.15 PP = $262.87
MB = $276.01
Most Recent Note - 2/28/2011 6:06:44 PM
G - Color code was changed to green after distributional pressure last week led to trading more than -7% below its pivot point, raising concerns. Recent highs and its 50 DMA line in the $235-237 area define technical chart support levels to watch where more damaging losses would raise greater concerns.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/11/2011. Click here.

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CRUS - NASDAQ
Cirrus Logic Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Specialized  
$23.33 +0.37
1.61%

$23.73

2,241,068
66.86% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 3,351,700
$25.48
-8.44%
1/28/2011 $20.69 PP = $19.17
MB = $20.13
Most Recent Note - 2/28/2011 6:07:39 PM
G - Found support after a pullback near prior chart highs last week amid widespread weakness. Subsequent deterioration below its 2/23/11 low ($21.17) would raise concerns, technically, and any close below its significant prior high close ($20.54 on 7/26/10) would raise even greater concerns.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/28/2011. Click here.

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CTSH - NASDAQ
Cognizant Tech Sol Cl A
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Business Software and Services  
$74.57 +0.08
0.11%

$75.57

2,276,253
100.32% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,269,100
$77.74
-4.08%
2/7/2011 $75.09 PP = $76.46
MB = $80.28
Most Recent Note - 3/1/2011 4:16:24 PM
Y - Considerable pullback near its 50 DMA line with today's loss on slightly above average volume. No overhead supply remains to hinder its progress, but is has stalled since its 2/08/11 breakout with bare minimum volume. Confirming gains for new highs with above average volume would be a welcome reassurance of institutional accumulation.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/8/2011. Click here.

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DECK - NASDAQ
Deckers Outdoor Corp
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES - Textile - Apparel Footwear  
$84.58 +0.92
1.10%

$85.88

1,519,787
91.48% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,661,400
$94.70
-10.69%
2/3/2011 $79.61 PP = $82.67
MB = $86.80
Most Recent Note - 3/1/2011 4:10:39 PM
G - Closed near the session low with a considerable loss today on above average volume. Churning above average volume action without meaningful price progress has been noted as indicative of distributional pressure following its 2/17/11 technical breakout. Support to watch is at its pivot point and 50 DMA line (now $81.71).
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/26/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
EBIX - NASDAQ
Ebix Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Business Software and Services  
$27.18 -0.17
-0.62%

$27.38

868,211
174.37% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 497,900
$28.21
-3.65%
2/28/2011 $25.70 PP = $25.97
MB = $27.27
Most Recent Note - 3/2/2011 12:36:41 PM
Y - Perched near its 52-week high today following a spurt of volume-driven gains including its 2/28/10 gain for a technical breakout. Prior highs in the $25-26 area define initial support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/28/2011. Click here.

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EZCH - NASDAQ
Ezchip Semiconductor Ltd
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Specialized  
$29.46 -0.32
-1.07%

$29.98

208,378
54.04% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 385,600
$33.48
-12.01%
12/2/2010 $27.53 PP = $26.00
MB = $27.30
Most Recent Note - 3/2/2011 4:28:58 PM
G - While lingering below its 50 DMA line which has acted as resistance, volume totals have cooled. A convincing rebound above its short-term average would help its outlook, meanwhile it faces overhead supply up through the $33 area which may hinder its ability to rally.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/1/2011. Click here.

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EZPW - NASDAQ
Ezcorp Inc Cl A
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$28.83 +0.46
1.62%

$28.99

226,321
57.21% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 395,600
$29.94
-3.71%
2/18/2011 $27.94 PP = $30.04
MB = $31.54
Most Recent Note - 3/2/2011 4:31:44 PM
Y - Up again on light volume today, perched -3.7% off its 52-week high and just above its 50 DMA line and showing resilience. Subsequent gains with heavy volume above its pivot point may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Recent low ($25.56 on 1/25/11) defines an important support level now.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/3/2011. Click here.

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FOSL - NASDAQ
Fossil Inc
CONSUMER DURABLES - Recreational Goods, Other  
$76.19 +1.08
1.44%

$76.88

669,918
81.11% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 825,900
$83.68
-8.95%
2/1/2011 $73.30 PP = $74.44
MB = $78.16
Most Recent Note - 2/28/2011 6:22:24 PM
G - Found support last week near its 50 DMA line and it is consolidating above prior resistance in the $74 area previously noted as defining chart support. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and an annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/24/2011. Click here.

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GSIT - NASDAQ
G S I Technology Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Broad Line  
$9.18 -0.02
-0.22%

$9.35

94,574
38.74% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 244,100
$10.20
-10.00%
2/18/2011 $10.08 PP = $10.25
MB = $10.76
Most Recent Note - 2/28/2011 6:23:56 PM
G - Holding its ground after gains on lighter volume halted its slide at its 50 DMA line last week. A subsequent rally for a close above its 2/18/11 close ($9.78) would help its outlook following its gap down on 2/22/11 and damaging losses on higher volume.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/18/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
HMSY - NASDAQ
H M S Holdings Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Healthcare Information Service  
$75.65 +0.37
0.49%

$76.00

120,212
74.99% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 160,300
$77.43
-2.30%
11/19/2010 $61.89 PP = $63.01
MB = $66.16
Most Recent Note - 2/28/2011 6:25:09 PM
G - Rose on light volume today for its second-best close ever. Held its ground since its 2/23/11 gap down broke a streak of 15 consecutive gains. Extended from any sound base pattern, support to watch is defined by prior chart highs and its 50 DMA line in the $67 area.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/16/2011. Click here.

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JOBS - NASDAQ
Fifty One Job Inc Ads
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Staffing and; Outsourcing Service  
$57.72 -0.56
-0.96%

$58.97

100,536
74.47% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 135,000
$64.55
-10.58%
2/7/2011 $59.23 PP = $61.38
MB = $64.45
Most Recent Note - 3/1/2011 4:38:36 PM
Y - Small gap down today for a loss with above average volume following a negative reversal after a 2/28/11 gap up for a new 52-week high. Reported earnings +39% on +38% sales revenues for the quarter ended December 31, 2010 versus the year ago period. Its color code was changed to yellow based on its resilience near its short-term average again last week as it was noted - "A subsequent rally to new highs with above average volume may confirm a new buy signal, meanwhile its recent low ($52.58 on 1/28/11) defines another important support level below its 50 DMA line where violations would raise serious concerns and trigger technical sell signals."
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/7/2011. Click here.

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LULU - NASDAQ
Lululemon Athletica
MANUFACTURING - Textile Manufacturing  
$73.70 -0.10
-0.14%

$75.30

1,929,895
99.05% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,948,500
$85.28
-13.58%
1/26/2011 $68.11 PP = $74.70
MB = $78.44
Most Recent Note - 3/1/2011 11:22:41 AM
Y - Slumping toward its 50 DMA line and pivot point that define important support. Violations may trigger technical sell signals, and any subsequent close below a significant prior high close ($73.51 on 12/21/10) would completely negate its latest breakout, raising more serious concerns.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/25/2011. Click here.

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MWIV - NASDAQ
M W I Veterinary Supply
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Instruments and; Supplies  
$68.99 -0.33
-0.48%

$69.70

84,830
114.33% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 74,200
$72.27
-4.54%
11/4/2010 $61.79 PP = $59.60
MB = $62.58
Most Recent Note - 3/1/2011 4:41:34 PM
G - Posted its 3rd gain in 4 sessions today with above average volume. It found support near prior highs and its 50 DMA line but has not built a sound new base pattern.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/2/2011. Click here.

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NFLX - NASDAQ
Netflix Inc
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Music and Video Stores  
$204.23 -0.40
-0.20%

$207.50

4,718,260
88.04% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 5,359,100
$247.55
-17.50%
1/10/2011 $187.88 PP = $209.34
MB = $219.81
Most Recent Note - 2/28/2011 6:33:49 PM
G - Down today for its lowest close since its 1/27/11 breakaway gap. It is -16.5% off its high and enduring distributional pressure. Deterioration leading to a close below its significant prior high close ($205.90 on 11/30/10) would raise greater concerns, and its 50 DMA line defines the next important support level.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/23/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
OPEN - NASDAQ
Opentable Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$86.07 +0.86
1.01%

$87.39

824,480
82.17% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,003,400
$95.97
-10.32%
1/5/2011 $74.05 PP = $76.79
MB = $80.63
Most Recent Note - 3/1/2011 11:17:45 AM
G - Down today with increasing volume while slumping toward prior highs. Prior resistance near $82 defines support above its 50 DMA line. It has not built any recent sound base pattern.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/15/2011. Click here.

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ORCL - NASDAQ
Oracle Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Application Software  
$32.12 +0.46
1.44%

$32.36

23,089,005
92.77% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 24,887,200
$33.71
-4.72%
1/20/2011 $32.31 PP = $32.37
MB = $33.99
Most Recent Note - 3/2/2011 4:40:17 PM
Y - Gain on lighter volume today was a sign of support as its rebounded to close very near its 50 DMA line after violating that important short-term average on the prior session with a loss on higher volume. Its prior low previously noted ($30.80 on 1/10/11) defines the next important chart support level to watch.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/22/2011. Click here.

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PAY - NYSE
Verifone Systems Inc
COMPUTER HARDWARE - Transaction Automation Systems  
$48.45 +3.84
8.61%

$49.57

6,674,324
447.82% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,490,400
$49.91
-2.93%
1/27/2011 $41.77 PP = $44.97
MB = $47.22
Most Recent Note - 3/2/2011 4:54:41 PM
G - Gapped up today after reporting earnings +65% on +27% sales revenues for the quarter ended January 31, 2011 versus the year-ago period. Recently found support near its prior highs and 50 DMA line. Color code was changed to green again after getting extended from a sound base. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/2/2011. Click here.

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PCLN - NASDAQ
Priceline.Com Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$449.18 +3.95
0.89%

$454.49

1,300,032
119.90% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,084,300
$469.40
-4.31%
1/3/2011 $399.55 PP = $428.20
MB = $449.61
Most Recent Note - 3/1/2011 4:30:02 PM
Y - Pulled back today from its 52-week high with a 3rd consecutive loss on above average volume after its 2/24/11 gap up. Reported earnings +71% on +35% sales revenues for the quarter ended December 31, 2010 versus the year ago period. More serious concerns and technical sell signals would be triggered by subsequent damaging losses below the $116.00 low previously noted.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/14/2011. Click here.

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RAX - NYSE
Rackspace Hosting Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and; Services  
$36.68 +0.95
2.66%

$37.00

1,390,942
77.75% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,788,900
$40.62
-9.70%
1/10/2011 $22.84 PP = $32.76
MB = $34.40
Most Recent Note - 3/2/2011 4:34:01 PM
G - Perched -9.7% off its all-time high after today's gain on below average volume. Consolidating just above prior highs near $35 previously noted as defining support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/9/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
TIBX - NASDAQ
Tibco Software Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Business Software and Services  
$24.41 +0.32
1.33%

$24.68

1,358,608
48.96% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,774,800
$25.94
-5.90%
2/1/2011 $24.35 PP = $22.18
MB = $23.29
Most Recent Note - 2/28/2011 6:45:28 PM
G - Consolidating -5.1% off its 52-week high today. Found support amid widespread market weakness last week well above prior highs in the $22 area defining support along with its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/10/2011. Click here.

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UA - NYSE
Under Armour Inc Cl A
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES - Textile - Apparel Clothing  
$63.88 -0.59
-0.92%

$64.77

516,705
70.78% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 730,000
$70.43
-9.30%
1/27/2011 $58.31 PP = $56.99
MB = $59.84
Most Recent Note - 3/1/2011 4:35:32 PM
G - Down today with below average volume, still quietly consolidating well above prior resistance and its 50 DMA line in the $60 area that define chart support to watch. It has not formed any recent sound base pattern.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/1/2011. Click here.

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ULTA - NASDAQ
Ulta Salon Cosm & Frag
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$41.10 +0.05
0.12%

$41.74

438,765
82.60% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 531,200
$44.06
-6.72%
1/6/2011 $36.12 PP = $37.34
MB = $39.21
Most Recent Note - 2/28/2011 6:48:36 PM
G - Quietly consolidating -5.3% off its all-time high today. It has repeatedly been noted - "Extended from a sound base pattern, and prior highs in the $37-38 area define chart support to watch above its 50 DMA line."
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/17/2011. Click here.

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