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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 24TH, 2011
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Indices NYSE Nasdaq
DOW  -37.28 12,068.50 -0.31% Volume 1,222,891,520 -8% Volume 2,007,648,320 -17%
NASDAQ +14.91 2,737.90 +0.55% Advancers 1,553 50% Advancers 1,595 58%
S&P 500 -1.30 1,306.10 -0.10% Decliners 1,437 46% Decliners 1,068 39%
Russell 2000 +4.53 804.18 +0.57% 52 Wk Highs 83   52 Wk Highs 49  
S&P 600 +2.12 424.13 +0.50% 52 Wk Lows 17   52 Wk Lows 41  

Major Averages End Mixed With Lighter Volume Totals

The Dow Jones Industrial Average pared an early loss of 122 points and the Nasdaq Composite Index closed on positive ground. Volume totals were lighter than the prior session. Advancing issues beat decliners by 8-7 on the NYSE and by 3-2 on the Nasdaq  exchange. New 52-week highs outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. There was a total of 15 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, down from a total of 18 on the prior session. On the Featured Stocks Page the bias abruptly shifted to the positive side as there were gains from 21 of the 22 high-ranked market leaders.

 

Oil rose to as much as $103 per barrel early today, then dropped below $100 following a report that Saudi Arabia will fill the gap in Europe left by the decline in Libyan production. The Energy Department said an increase in U.S. crude oil inventories was smaller than-expected. Data on the labor market are improving. Initial jobless claims fell more than expected last week, and have been down three of the past four weeks. A separate report showed January new home sales fell more than expected.

Rising fuel costs dimmed the outlook for truck sales and the new General Motors (GM -4.5%) crashed below its 200-day moving average line to a new low since emerging from bankruptcy. Priceline.com (PCLN +8.5%) rallied after earnings beat estimates. Kohl's Corp (KSS +3.4%) announced its first-ever dividend and boosted its share buyback program. 

The damaging losses this week, coupled with waning leadership, put the latest rally for the major averages (M criteria) under pressure. Typically, 3 out of 4 stocks move in the same direction as the major averages. Investors should be mindful to protect hard-earned profits, limit losses, and stand ready to raise portfolio cash levels if more damaging losses occur.  The Nasdaq Composite Index recently traded within -1% of its 2007 high. The S&P 600 Small Cap Index has recently traded less than -1% away from its all-time high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (-12.7% at last week's close) and the S&P 500 Index (-14.8% at last week's close) remain further away from a complete recovery to new all-time highs.

PICTURED: The benchmark S&P 500 Index slumped toward its 50-day moving average line with a 3rd consecutive loss marked by above average volume.


Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.

Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.


Tech Sector Gains Help Nasdaq Rise

The tech sector helped the Nasdaq Composite Index outpace its peers on Thursday as the Internet Index ($IIX +1.05%), Networking Index ($NWX +1.58%), Semiconductor Index ($SOX +1.72%), and Biotechnology Index ($BTK +0.48%) posted unanimous gains.  The Retail Index ($RLX +0.81%) and Healthcare Index ($HMO +0.78%) also were positive influences, but the Bank Index ($BKX -0.53%) and Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD -0.19%) continued to slip lower. Commodity-linked groups were laggards as the Gold & Silver Index ($XAU -2.28%), Oil Services Index ($OSX -1.51%), and Integrated Oil Index ($XOI -1.13%) collectively lost ground.

Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com

PICTURED: The Bank Index ($BKX -0.53%) is lingering below its 50-day moving average line near prior chart lows. A rebound above that short-term average would be a reassuring sign from this important leading indicator, while subsequent deterioration would bode badly for the broader market outlook.


Industry Index Symbol Close Change % Change YTD % Change
Oil Services $OSX  278.47 -4.27 -1.51% +13.61%
Healthcare $HMO  2,003.52 +15.59 +0.78% +18.41%
Integrated Oil $XOI  1,337.62 -15.26 -1.13% +10.26%
Semiconductor $SOX  451.90 +7.63 +1.72% +9.73%
Networking $NWX  319.69 +4.97 +1.58% +13.95%
Internet $IIX  318.92 +3.30 +1.05% +3.64%
Broker/Dealer $XBD  123.84 -0.24 -0.19% +1.91%
Retail $RLX  510.39 +4.12 +0.81% +0.40%
Gold & Silver $XAU  208.43 -4.87 -2.28% -8.01%
Bank $BKX  52.82 -0.28 -0.53% +1.17%
Biotech $BTK  1,267.19 +6.05 +0.48% -2.35%


Prior Highs And 50-Day Average Define Important Support

Fossil Inc (FOSL +$0.10 or +0.14% to $74.81) is consolidating after testing support this week with losses after its damaging gap down on 2/15/11 with heavy volume broke a streak of 8 consecutive gains into new high territory. Support is defined by its 50-day moving average (DMA) line and prior resistance in the $74 area. More damaging losses could trigger technical sell signals.  It was last shown in the FSU section with an annotated graph on 1/12/11 under the headline "Violation Of 50-Day Average On High Volume Triggers Sell Signal" when it was down on volume more than twice its average daily trading total, violating its 50-day moving average (DMA) line with a damaging loss and triggering a technical sell signal.

Its color code was changed to yellow on 2/01/11 when noted while approaching its 52-week high, yet by the time gains above its new pivot point came with heavy volume it was getting extended beyond the riskier "late-stage" base that was identified. Sales revenues and earnings increases showed impressive acceleration in the 5 latest quarters (Dec '09, Mar, Jun, Sep, Dec '10) following a streak of 4 negative comparisons versus the year ago period. Much earlier, FOSL appeared in this section near $44 on 8/11/10 under the headline, "Breakaway Gap On More Than Triple Average Volume". It was featured in yellow in the 8/10/10 mid-day report (read here) and has subsequently traded as much as +83.75% higher.


Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our staff of experts.
G - Previously featured in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the guidelines.

***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
BIDU - NASDAQ
Baidu Inc Ads
INTERNET - Internet Information Providers  
$118.81 +2.91
2.51%

$119.86

6,791,411
90.79% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 7,480,100
$131.63
-9.74%
2/1/2011 $117.74 PP = $112.08
MB = $117.68
Most Recent Note - 2/24/2011 6:21:57 PM
G - Posted a gain on lighter volume today following damaging losses with higher than average volume. Recently slumping near prior highs in the $112-115 area previously noted as defining initial chart support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/2/2011. Click here.

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CMG - NYSE
Chipotle Mexican Grill
LEISURE - Restaurants  
$245.30 +1.11
0.45%

$246.98

1,015,048
98.41% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,031,500
$275.00
-10.80%
2/11/2011 $271.15 PP = $262.87
MB = $276.01
Most Recent Note - 2/23/2011 2:21:40 PM
G - Down today on higher volume, its color code is changed to green as distributional pressure sends it more than -7% below its pivot point, raising concerns. Recent highs and its 50 DMA line in the $235-237 area define technical chart support levels to watch where more damaging losses would raise greater concerns. Recently reported strong earnings and technically rallied "straight up from the bottom" from an 11-week cup shaped base without a handle.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/11/2011. Click here.

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CRUS - NASDAQ
Cirrus Logic Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Specialized  
$22.79 +0.57
2.57%

$22.90

3,025,943
92.52% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 3,270,700
$25.48
-10.56%
1/28/2011 $20.69 PP = $19.17
MB = $20.13
Most Recent Note - 2/24/2011 6:24:21 PM
G - Positive reversal for a gain with lighter volume today after initially gapping down. Subsequent deterioration below initial support at a significant prior high close ($20.54 on 7/26/10) would raise concerns. Additional support may be expected near its 50 DMA line and other more recent chart highs in the $19 area.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/28/2011. Click here.

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CTSH - NASDAQ
Cognizant Tech Sol Cl A
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Business Software and Services  
$74.93 +1.02
1.38%

$75.09

2,899,224
130.63% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,219,500
$77.74
-3.61%
2/7/2011 $75.09 PP = $76.46
MB = $80.28
Most Recent Note - 2/23/2011 1:46:17 PM
G - Weakness today has it slumping below its 50 DMA line, raising concerns. Color code is changed to green while deteriorating further below its pivot point amid widespread market weakness.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/8/2011. Click here.

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DECK - NASDAQ
Deckers Outdoor Corp
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES - Textile - Apparel Footwear  
$89.80 +2.60
2.98%

$90.08

3,303,513
213.96% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,544,000
$92.69
-3.12%
2/3/2011 $79.61 PP = $82.67
MB = $86.80
Most Recent Note - 2/24/2011 5:20:38 PM
G - Posted a solid gain today with volume nearly 2 times its average, finishing near the session high for its 3rd best close ever. Reported strong earnings and sales for the quarter ended December 31, 2010 versus the year earlier after the close. Color code is changed to green following dips below its "max buy" level this week.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/26/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
EZCH - NASDAQ
Ezchip Semiconductor Ltd
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Specialized  
$29.19 +0.33
1.14%

$30.06

381,077
99.81% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 381,800
$33.48
-12.81%
12/2/2010 $27.53 PP = $26.00
MB = $27.30
Most Recent Note - 2/24/2011 5:22:39 PM
G - Small gain today on average volume, still finishing below its 50 DMA line which may now act as resistance. A prompt rebound above its short-term average would help its outlook, meanwhile it faces overhead supply now up through the $33 area which may hinder its ability to rally.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/21/2011. Click here.

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EZPW - NASDAQ
Ezcorp Inc Cl A
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$28.14 +0.75
2.74%

$28.24

453,452
116.99% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 387,600
$29.94
-6.01%
2/18/2011 $27.94 PP = $30.04
MB = $31.54
Most Recent Note - 2/24/2011 5:25:14 PM
Y - Rebounded for a close above its 50 DMA line today, still showing resilience. Subsequent gains with heavy volume above its pivot point may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Recent low ($25.56 on 1/25/11) defines an important support level now.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/3/2011. Click here.

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FOSL - NASDAQ
Fossil Inc
CONSUMER DURABLES - Recreational Goods, Other  
$74.81 +0.10
0.13%

$76.27

973,418
125.44% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 776,000
$83.68
-10.60%
2/1/2011 $73.30 PP = $74.44
MB = $78.16
Most Recent Note - 2/24/2011 5:07:21 PM
G - Testing support this week near its 50 DMA line and prior resistance in the $74 area previously noted as defining initial chart support. Reversed from its high with its gap down on 2/15/11 for a damaging loss with heavy volume following 8 consecutive gains into new high territory.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/24/2011. Click here.

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GSIT - NASDAQ
G S I Technology Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Broad Line  
$9.29 +0.35
3.91%

$9.33

141,320
57.80% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 244,500
$10.20
-8.92%
2/18/2011 $10.08 PP = $10.25
MB = $10.76
Most Recent Note - 2/24/2011 5:09:48 PM
G - Gain today on lighter volume halted its slide at its 50 DMA line. Gapped down on 2/22/11 amid widespread market weakness and its color code was changed to green after erasing the prior session's gain. Closed the 2/18/11 session in the middle of its intra-day range with a gain backed by more than 4 times average volume, and disciplined investors should note that it did not trigger a proper technical buy signal. See the latest FSU analysis for details and an annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/18/2011. Click here.

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HMSY - NASDAQ
H M S Holdings Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Healthcare Information Service  
$73.60 +0.21
0.29%

$74.18

200,912
127.89% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 157,100
$77.43
-4.95%
11/19/2010 $61.89 PP = $63.01
MB = $66.16
Most Recent Note - 2/23/2011 12:16:05 PM
G - Gapped down today, pulling back from its 52-week high hit on the prior session. After 15 consecutive gains with ever-increasing volume it is extended from any sound base pattern. Support to watch is defined by prior chart highs and its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/16/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
JOBS - NASDAQ
Fifty One Job Inc Ads
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Staffing and; Outsourcing Service  
$56.41 +0.37
0.66%

$57.54

219,923
166.10% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 132,400
$61.99
-9.00%
2/7/2011 $59.23 PP = $61.38
MB = $64.45
Most Recent Note - 2/24/2011 6:16:00 PM
G - Halted its slide today with a gain on heavier above average volume, finding support at its 50 DMA line. Now -9.0% off its all-time high reached last week when gains lacked the volume conviction to produce a powerful breakout, its color code was changed to green. Its recent low ($52.58 on 1/28/11) defines another important support level where a violation would raise serious concerns and a trigger technical sell signal.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/7/2011. Click here.

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LULU - NASDAQ
Lululemon Athletica
MANUFACTURING - Textile Manufacturing  
$76.17 -1.10
-1.42%

$76.81

2,349,438
111.08% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,115,000
$85.28
-10.68%
1/26/2011 $68.11 PP = $74.70
MB = $78.44
Most Recent Note - 2/24/2011 6:19:33 PM
Y - Finished near the session high today with a 5th consecutive loss. Slumping near prior highs defining chart support coinciding closely with its 50 DMA line. Subsequent violations would trigger technical sell signals. Color code was changed to yellow while pulling back below its "max buy" level.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/14/2011. Click here.

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MWIV - NASDAQ
M W I Veterinary Supply
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Instruments and; Supplies  
$68.22 +2.21
3.35%

$68.34

100,893
146.65% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 68,800
$72.27
-5.60%
11/4/2010 $61.79 PP = $59.60
MB = $62.58
Most Recent Note - 2/24/2011 5:52:47 PM
G - Closed near the session high today with a gain backed by above average volume. It has not built a sound new base pattern. Prior highs in the $67 area define initial chart support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/2/2011. Click here.

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NFLX - NASDAQ
Netflix Inc
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Music and Video Stores  
$215.18 +3.98
1.88%

$216.39

4,519,124
83.03% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 5,442,500
$247.55
-13.08%
1/10/2011 $187.88 PP = $209.34
MB = $219.81
Most Recent Note - 2/23/2011 2:47:50 PM
G - Gapped down for a second consecutive session, its damaging loss extends it losing streak to 6 consecutive trading days. It is -14.3% off its high and enduring distributional pressure amid widespread market weakness, now testing prior resistance near its old high ($209) previously noted as defining support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/23/2011. Click here.

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NTAP - NASDAQ
Netapp Inc
COMPUTER HARDWARE - Data Storage Devices  
$50.84 +0.20
0.39%

$51.04

9,862,858
191.93% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 5,138,900
$61.02
-16.68%
1/6/2011 $57.49 PP = $58.06
MB = $60.96
Most Recent Note - 2/23/2011 5:22:24 PM
Down today for a 4th consecutive loss with above average volume, finishing -17% off its 52-week high. Damaging losses were recently noted as it triggered technical sell signals and it will be dropped from the Featured Stocks list tonight. An earlier low (on 11/1710) and its 200 DMA line define the next chart support levels to watch.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/4/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
OPEN - NASDAQ
Opentable Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$88.72 +4.61
5.48%

$88.77

1,296,925
135.86% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 954,600
$95.97
-7.55%
1/5/2011 $74.05 PP = $76.79
MB = $80.63
Most Recent Note - 2/24/2011 5:55:42 PM
G - Posted a gain today with above average volume and finished near the session high, breaking a streak of 4 consecutive losses. Prior highs near $82 define support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/15/2011. Click here.

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ORCL - NASDAQ
Oracle Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Application Software  
$32.25 +0.07
0.22%

$32.41

23,416,224
89.68% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 26,111,400
$33.71
-4.33%
1/20/2011 $32.31 PP = $32.37
MB = $33.99
Most Recent Note - 2/24/2011 6:10:13 PM
Y - Traded below its 50 DMA line today following a small gap down, then rebounded to close the session above it for a positive reversal. Recently slumped below its pivot point from last week's new 52-week high.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/22/2011. Click here.

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PAY - NYSE
Verifone Systems Inc
COMPUTER HARDWARE - Transaction Automation Systems  
$45.13 +1.09
2.48%

$45.29

1,660,319
112.02% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,482,100
$49.91
-9.58%
1/27/2011 $41.77 PP = $44.97
MB = $47.22
Most Recent Note - 2/23/2011 4:42:53 PM
Y - Down again today with above average volume for 3rd consecutive loss, slumping below its pivot point and raising concerns while closing below its old high close ($44.26 on 1/13/11) completely negating the 2/14/11 technical buy signal. Support to watch is its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/27/2011. Click here.

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PCLN - NASDAQ
Priceline.Com Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$462.34 +36.35
8.53%

$469.40

4,461,969
470.82% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 947,700
$464.47
-0.46%
1/3/2011 $399.55 PP = $428.20
MB = $449.61
Most Recent Note - 2/24/2011 12:52:13 PM
Y - Gapped up today for a considerable gain with heavy volume, reclaiming recently lost ground and touching a new 52-week high after reporting earnings +71% on +35% sales revenues for the quarter ended December 31, 2010 versus the year ago period. Prompt support near its 50 DMA line and its gap up are indicative of institutional accumulation in the face of widespread market weakness. More serious concerns and technical sell signals would be triggered by subsequent damaging losses below today's low ($116.00) coinciding with its 1/20/11 chart low.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/14/2011. Click here.

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RAX - NYSE
Rackspace Hosting Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and; Services  
$36.61 +0.74
2.06%

$36.74

1,385,390
73.84% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,876,200
$40.62
-9.87%
1/10/2011 $22.84 PP = $32.76
MB = $34.40
Most Recent Note - 2/23/2011 5:00:27 PM
G - Down today with above average volume, finishing -11.7% off its all-time high. Amid widespread market weakness it has slumped back to prior highs near $35 previously noted as defining support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/9/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
TIBX - NASDAQ
Tibco Software Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Business Software and Services  
$24.01 +0.72
3.09%

$24.58

4,214,751
153.87% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,739,100
$25.94
-7.44%
2/1/2011 $24.35 PP = $22.18
MB = $23.29
Most Recent Note - 2/24/2011 6:13:29 PM
G - Up today with above average volume heavier than the 2 prior losing sessions. Consolidating above prior highs in the $22 area defining support along with its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/10/2011. Click here.

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UA - NYSE
Under Armour Inc Cl A
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES - Textile - Apparel Clothing  
$64.56 +0.31
0.48%

$65.27

641,342
81.67% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 785,300
$70.43
-8.33%
1/27/2011 $58.31 PP = $56.99
MB = $59.84
Most Recent Note - 2/23/2011 2:27:17 PM
G - Down today without great volume conviction, slumping -8.1% off its 52-week high now. Following a recent spurt of gains with above average volume, prior resistance in the $60 area defines initial support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/1/2011. Click here.

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ULTA - NASDAQ
Ulta Salon Cosm & Frag
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$41.18 +0.15
0.37%

$42.58

542,363
101.04% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 536,800
$44.06
-6.54%
1/6/2011 $36.12 PP = $37.34
MB = $39.21
Most Recent Note - 2/23/2011 2:29:16 PM
G - Pulling back from all-time highs without great volume conviction today. It has repeatedly been noted - "Extended from a sound base pattern, and prior highs in the $37-38 area define chart support to watch above its 50 DMA line."
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/17/2011. Click here.

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