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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 17TH, 2011
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Indices NYSE Nasdaq
DOW  +29.97 12,318.14 +0.24% Volume 882,295,160 -8% Volume 1,888,057,190 -15%
NASDAQ +6.02 2,831.58 +0.21% Advancers 1,874 60% Advancers 1,584 57%
S&P 500 +4.11 1,340.43 +0.31% Decliners 1,145 37% Decliners 1,061 38%
Russell 2000 +5.65 834.02 +0.68% 52 Wk Highs 365   52 Wk Highs 212  
S&P 600 +2.55 440.08 +0.58% 52 Wk Lows 9   52 Wk Lows 22  

Major Averages Rise With Less Volume Conviction

Positive trends remain in place on Wall Street. Volume totals on both major exchanges cooled from the prior session totals. Advancing issues beat decliners by 3-2 on both the NYSE and the Nasdaq.  New 52-week highs outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. The new 52-week lows total on the NYSE was in the single digits. There was a total of 98 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, down slightly from a total of 105 on the prior session. On the Featured Stocks Page there were gains from 12 of the 23 high-ranked market leaders. A standout among the decliners on the Featured Stocks Page was NetApp Inc (NTAP -6.44%) after a weaker-than-expected profit forecast. 

 

Crude oil rose more than a dollar a barrel to its highest price in a month and gold prices hit a 5-week high as protests spread in the Middle East. A strong report on mid-Atlantic factory activity offset a rise in initial jobless claims and the biggest one-month increase in the core inflation rate since October 2009. 

Weight Watchers Int'l (WTW +45%) spiked to an all-time high after earnings topped estimates, and it had strung together 13 consecutive gains ahead of that. Williams Companies (WMB +8.4%) rallied after approving a plan to spin off its exploration and production business.

PICTURED: The S&P 500 Index continues rising to new recovery highs. Gains in recent weeks have come without great volume conviction, yet there have been little signs of distribution as well.


Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.

Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.


Semiconductor and Networking Indexes Among Standout Tech Sector Leaders

Energy-related shares were standout gainers on Thursday as the Integrated Oil Index ($XOI +1.26%) and Oil Services Index ($OSX +2.12%) advanced.  Defensive groups edged higher as the Gold & Silver Index ($XAU +0.55%) and Healthcare Index ($HMO +1.07%) rose. The Semiconductor Index ($SOX +1.43%) led the tech sector and there were smaller gains for the Networking Index ($NWX +0.84%) and Internet Index ($IIX +0.21%), meanwhile the Biotechnology Index ($BTK +0.09%) finished nearly unchanged. The Bank Index ($BKX -0.72%) pulled back and the Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD -0.10%) and Retail Index ($RLX +0.03%) were virtually flat.         

Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com

PICTURED: The Semiconductor Index ($SOX +1.43%) led the tech sector Thursday. A clear upward trendline is established by connecting several prior chart lows. The SOX's year-to-date (YTD) gain of +14.91% puts it behind the Networking Index (YTD +18.68%), yet both tech sector indexes have been standout gainers thus far into 2011.


Industry Index Symbol Close Change % Change YTD % Change
Oil Services $OSX  287.50 +5.96 +2.12% +17.29%
Healthcare $HMO  2,018.80 +21.36 +1.07% +19.32%
Integrated Oil $XOI  1,348.41 +16.84 +1.26% +11.15%
Semiconductor $SOX  473.22 +6.66 +1.43% +14.91%
Networking $NWX  332.96 +2.78 +0.84% +18.68%
Internet $IIX  331.53 +0.68 +0.21% +7.74%
Broker/Dealer $XBD  129.84 -0.13 -0.10% +6.85%
Retail $RLX  526.36 +0.14 +0.03% +3.54%
Gold & Silver $XAU  212.56 +1.16 +0.55% -6.19%
Bank $BKX  55.14 -0.40 -0.72% +5.61%
Biotech $BTK  1,300.36 +1.20 +0.09% +0.21%


Extended From Sound Base After Quiet Gains

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. (ULTA +$0.22 or +0.51% to $43.32) ended at a new all-time high close with a small gain today on average volume. It is extended from a sound base pattern, and prior highs in the $37-38 area define chart support to watch above its 50-day moving average (DMA) line. Its last appearance in this FSU section on 1/06/11 with an annotated graph under the headline "Volume Driven Gain Challenges Prior Resistance". Its color code was changed to green on 2/07/11 after getting extended.

The number of top-rated funds with an ownership interest has grown from 273 funds in Dec '09 to 397 funds as of Dec '10 which is an encouraging sign of increasing institutional interest (the I criteria). Management's 36% ownership stake (after the latest offering) still keeps the company's directors very motivated to look after and build shareholder value. This has strong quarterly earnings increases above the +25% guideline in the 6 latest comparisons (satisfies the C criteria).


Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our staff of experts.
G - Previously featured in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the guidelines.

***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
BIDU - NASDAQ
Baidu Inc Ads
INTERNET - Internet Information Providers  
$128.54 -0.17
-0.13%

$129.26

3,601,211
47.27% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 7,618,300
$131.63
-2.35%
2/1/2011 $117.74 PP = $112.08
MB = $117.68
Most Recent Note - 2/11/2011 5:36:29 PM
G - Hit another new all-time high with today's 5th consecutive gain on average volume. Prior highs in the $112-115 area define initial chart support to watch now.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/2/2011. Click here.

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CMG - NYSE
Chipotle Mexican Grill
LEISURE - Restaurants  
$265.54 +1.53
0.58%

$268.00

789,742
76.76% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,028,900
$275.00
-3.44%
2/11/2011 $271.15 PP = $262.87
MB = $276.01
Most Recent Note - 2/15/2011 3:52:33 PM
Y - Down on near average volume today after a recent spurt of gains with above average volume. Reported strong earnings and technically rallied "straight up from the bottom" from an 11-week cup shaped base without a handle.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/11/2011. Click here.

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CRUS - NASDAQ
Cirrus Logic Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Specialized  
$25.15 +0.15
0.60%

$25.37

2,161,463
66.01% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 3,274,600
$25.48
-1.30%
1/28/2011 $20.69 PP = $19.17
MB = $20.13
Most Recent Note - 2/16/2011 6:25:27 PM
G - Gain on light volume today for a new high close. Holding its ground stubbornly after volume-driven gains, it is extended from its latest sound base pattern. Patience may allow for secondary buy points to develop. Prior highs define chart support levels to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/28/2011. Click here.

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CTSH - NASDAQ
Cognizant Tech Sol Cl A
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Business Software and Services  
$76.88 +0.24
0.31%

$77.26

1,365,288
61.72% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,211,900
$77.08
-0.26%
2/7/2011 $75.09 PP = $76.46
MB = $80.28
Most Recent Note - 2/16/2011 6:26:58 PM
Y - Inched higher for a 4th consecutive small gain today on below average volume. Consolidating above its 50 DMA line, it faces no resistance due to overhead supply after closing the session -0.6% off its 52-week high. See the latest FSU analysis for details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/8/2011. Click here.

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DECK - NASDAQ
Deckers Outdoor Corp
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES - Textile - Apparel Footwear  
$90.57 +6.32
7.50%

$90.75

3,350,909
207.54% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,614,600
$87.88
3.06%
2/3/2011 $79.61 PP = $82.67
MB = $86.80
Most Recent Note - 2/17/2011 12:08:28 PM
Y - After gapping down today it has managed a powerful positive reversal, which is bullish action. It has rallied above the "max buy" level cited and may technically have the heavy volume to clinch a late buy signal based on the previously noted "double bottom" base pattern. The recent consolidation was too short to be considered a proper "handle" on a cup-with-handle pattern, however one may also consider it to be rising from a 9-week flat base (no new pivot point is being cited). The stock is free of all resistance due to overhead supply.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/26/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
EZCH - NASDAQ
Ezchip Semiconductor Ltd
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Specialized  
$30.30 +0.01
0.03%

$30.47

246,589
64.38% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 383,000
$33.48
-9.50%
12/2/2010 $27.53 PP = $26.00
MB = $27.30
Most Recent Note - 2/14/2011 3:21:00 PM
G - Today's gain with above average volume is indicative of support near its 50 DMA line. On 2/10/11 it reported earnings +41% on +33% sales revenues for the quarter ended December 31, 2010, and gapped down undercutting its 50 DMA line and prior chart highs in the $29 area then rebounded to close well above both. As previously noted - "Volume and volatility often increase near corporate earnings news."
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/21/2011. Click here.

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EZPW - NASDAQ
Ezcorp Inc Cl A
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$28.13 +0.27
0.97%

$28.21

280,541
70.56% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 397,600
$29.94
-6.05%
11/5/2010 $24.02 PP = $23.85
MB = $25.04
Most Recent Note - 2/15/2011 4:03:03 PM
G - Small gap down today on below average (but higher) volume led to a close back under its 50 DMA line again. Showing resilience in recent Weeks while volume totals have been cooling, but it has not built a sound new base. Recent low ($25.56 on 1/25/11) defines an important support level now.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/3/2011. Click here.

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FOSL - NASDAQ
Fossil Inc
CONSUMER DURABLES - Recreational Goods, Other  
$78.42 -0.67
-0.85%

$78.84

751,267
99.61% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 754,200
$83.68
-6.29%
2/1/2011 $73.30 PP = $74.44
MB = $78.16
Most Recent Note - 2/16/2011 12:06:18 PM
G - Holding its ground today. Gapped down on 2/15/11 following 8 consecutive gains into new high territory after reporting earnings +42% on +33% sales revenues. Prior resistance in the $74 area defines initial chart support above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/12/2011. Click here.

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HMSY - NASDAQ
H M S Holdings Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Healthcare Information Service  
$71.96 +0.89
1.25%

$72.48

240,404
168.23% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 142,900
$71.60
0.50%
11/19/2010 $61.89 PP = $63.01
MB = $66.16
Most Recent Note - 2/16/2011 6:17:52 PM
G - Prior highs near $67 define initial support to watch on pullbacks. Hit yet another new 52-week high today with its 12th consecutive gain with ever-increasing volume since it found support at its 50 DMA line. It quietly rose from an orderly base-on-base type pattern. Relative Strength rank (now 75) was noted as a concern and has only gradually improved.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/16/2011. Click here.

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JOBS - NASDAQ
Fifty One Job Inc Ads
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Staffing and; Outsourcing Service  
$59.67 +0.12
0.20%

$60.04

52,199
38.58% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 135,300
$61.28
-2.63%
2/7/2011 $59.23 PP = $61.38
MB = $64.45
Most Recent Note - 2/16/2011 6:18:47 PM

Y - Perched near its 52-week high. Its 50 DMA line and recent low ($52.58 on 1/28/11) define important support where violations would raise concerns and trigger technical sell signals. After a long ascending base pattern, subsequent volume-driven gains above its pivot point may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal.


>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/7/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
LULU - NASDAQ
Lululemon Athletica
MANUFACTURING - Textile Manufacturing  
$82.44 -0.16
-0.19%

$83.70

1,004,483
42.98% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,337,200
$85.28
-3.33%
1/26/2011 $68.11 PP = $74.70
MB = $78.44
Most Recent Note - 2/15/2011 3:56:10 PM
G - Quietly pulling back from its 52-week high after a streak of 7 consecutive gains with higher volume. Extended from its latest sound base, its prior highs near $74 define chart support to watch now.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/14/2011. Click here.

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MWIV - NASDAQ
M W I Veterinary Supply
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Instruments and; Supplies  
$67.80 -3.80
-5.31%

$70.50

191,054
304.23% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 62,800
$72.27
-6.19%
11/4/2010 $61.79 PP = $59.60
MB = $62.58
Most Recent Note - 2/17/2011 12:53:17 PM
G - Small gap down today following an analysts downgrade, reversing from its all-time high. It has not built a sound new base pattern. Prior highs in the $67 area define initial chart support to watch. Sales revenues acceleration (bigger percentage increases sequentially, +34%, +41%, +45% and +55% in the Mar, Jun, Sep, and Dec '10 quarterly comparisons versus the year earlier) is a very reassuring sign.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/2/2011. Click here.

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NFLX - NASDAQ
Netflix Inc
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Music and Video Stores  
$235.63 -2.09
-0.88%

$241.80

5,636,655
101.17% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 5,571,600
$247.55
-4.82%
1/10/2011 $187.88 PP = $209.34
MB = $219.81
Most Recent Note - 2/15/2011 12:32:20 PM
G - Small gap down today followed a considerable gain with above average volume for yet another new all-time high. It has been noted as extended from a sound base, and prior high ($209) defines support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/10/2011. Click here.

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NTAP - NASDAQ
Netapp Inc
COMPUTER HARDWARE - Data Storage Devices  
$54.77 -3.77
-6.44%

$55.10

30,152,385
695.17% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 4,337,400
$61.02
-10.24%
1/6/2011 $57.49 PP = $58.06
MB = $60.96
Most Recent Note - 2/17/2011 10:04:23 AM
G - Gapped down today and violated its 50 DMA line, raising concerns and triggering a technical sell signal. Reported earnings +30% on +25% sales revenues for the quarter ended January 31, 2011 versus the year ago period. It has traded below the prior chart low ($53.14) which also defines an important support level where it might show resilience following the 50 DMA violation.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/4/2011. Click here.

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OPEN - NASDAQ
Opentable Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$92.89 -0.03
-0.03%

$93.99

537,735
58.60% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 917,600
$95.97
-3.21%
1/5/2011 $74.05 PP = $76.79
MB = $80.63
Most Recent Note - 2/15/2011 6:27:33 PM
G - Quietly consolidating after a streak of volume-driven gains for new all-time highs. Extended from a sound base pattern, meanwhile prior highs define support above its 50 DMA line. See the latest FSU summary for more details and an annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/15/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
ORCL - NASDAQ
Oracle Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Application Software  
$33.01 -0.10
-0.30%

$33.20

14,568,772
55.55% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 26,224,400
$33.59
-1.73%
1/20/2011 $32.31 PP = $32.37
MB = $33.99
Most Recent Note - 2/14/2011 2:49:04 PM
Y - Volume totals have been cooling while hovering near its 52-week high, below its "max buy" level. Near-term support to watch is its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/7/2011. Click here.

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PAY - NYSE
Verifone Systems Inc
COMPUTER HARDWARE - Transaction Automation Systems  
$49.41 +0.25
0.51%

$49.91

2,453,125
169.61% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,446,300
$49.28
0.27%
1/27/2011 $41.77 PP = $44.97
MB = $47.22
Most Recent Note - 2/16/2011 6:08:28 PM
G - Gain today with slightly above average volume for another new 52-week high. Technically triggered a new (or add-on) technical buy signal and quickly getting extended beyond its "max buy" level with its 2/14/11 gain. Color code was changed to green.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/27/2011. Click here.

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PCLN - NASDAQ
Priceline.Com Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$455.27 -2.77
-0.60%

$462.35

709,779
76.12% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 932,400
$464.47
-1.98%
1/3/2011 $399.55 PP = $428.20
MB = $449.61
Most Recent Note - 2/11/2011 5:34:18 PM
G - Color code was changed to green after rising above its "max buy" level this week. Prior highs and its 50 DMA line define support to watch.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/14/2011. Click here.

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RAX - NYSE
Rackspace Hosting Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and; Services  
$38.89 +0.21
0.54%

$39.22

1,060,598
56.60% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,873,700
$40.62
-4.26%
1/10/2011 $22.84 PP = $32.76
MB = $34.40
Most Recent Note - 2/14/2011 3:18:02 PM
G - Pulling back today after a considerable gap up on 2/11/11 for a considerable gain on heavy volume after reporting earnings +29% on +27% sales revenues for the quarter ended December 31, 2010 versus the year ago period. It is extended from any sound base. Recent highs near $35 define support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/9/2011. Click here.

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ROVI - NASDAQ
Rovi Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE andamp; SERVICES - Security Software andamp; Services  
$60.13 -0.02
-0.03%

$60.24

4,054,103
233.12% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,739,100
$69.50
-13.48%
10/29/2010 $49.99 PP = $53.10
MB = $55.76
Most Recent Note - 2/17/2011 5:49:34 PM
G - Held its ground today but failed to rebound after violating its 50 DMA line. A largest ever 1-day point loss on 2/16/11 with more than 4 times average volume triggered a worrisome technical sell signal. Weaker fundamentals and technical action raised concerns after it reported earnings +8% on +2% sales for the quarter ended December 31, 2010 versus the year-ago period and closed near the previously noted 1/31/11 low ($60.15) defining near-term chart support.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/25/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
TIBX - NASDAQ
Tibco Software Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Business Software and Services  
$25.47 +0.00
0.00%

$25.58

1,209,659
44.19% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,737,300
$25.94
-1.81%
2/1/2011 $24.35 PP = $22.18
MB = $23.29
Most Recent Note - 2/14/2011 2:46:09 PM
G - Inched to another new 52-week high today with a gain on lighter volume. Extended from its latest sound base, its prior highs in the $22 area define support. See the latest FSU analysis for details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/10/2011. Click here.

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UA - NYSE
Under Armour Inc Cl A
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES - Textile - Apparel Clothing  
$67.53 -0.24
-0.35%

$68.00

421,664
53.46% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 788,800
$70.43
-4.12%
1/27/2011 $58.31 PP = $56.99
MB = $59.84
Most Recent Note - 2/15/2011 3:53:53 PM
G - Quietly pulling back from its 52-week high following a recent spurt of gains with above average volume. Prior resistance in the $60 area defines initial support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/1/2011. Click here.

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ULTA - NASDAQ
Ulta Salon Cosm & Frag
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$43.32 +0.22
0.51%

$43.45

363,636
65.45% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 555,600
$43.90
-1.32%
1/6/2011 $36.12 PP = $37.34
MB = $39.21
Most Recent Note - 2/16/2011 6:23:49 PM
G - New all-time high close with a small gain today on average volume. It is extended from a sound base pattern, and prior highs in the $37-38 area define chart support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/17/2011. Click here.

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