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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 3RD, 2011
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Indices NYSE Nasdaq
DOW  +20.29 12,062.26 +0.17% Volume 999,751,910 +7% Volume 1,891,533,120 -4%
NASDAQ +4.32 2,753.88 +0.16% Advancers 1,601 51% Advancers 1,314 48%
S&P 500 +3.07 1,307.10 +0.24% Decliners 1,384 44% Decliners 1,322 48%
Russell 2000 +2.47 798.63 +0.31% 52 Wk Highs 192   52 Wk Highs 139  
S&P 600 +0.83 423.56 +0.20% 52 Wk Lows 7   52 Wk Lows 23  

Major Averages Erased Early Losses And Closed Higher

The major averages overcame early losses and closed with moderate gains, a sign on a resilient market. The volume totals were reported lighter on the Nasdaq and higher on the NYSE versus the prior session totals. Advancing issues beat decliners by 5-4 on the NYSE while the mix was nearly even on the Nasdaq exchange. New 52-week highs outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. The total number of new lows on the NYSE remained in the single digits. There was a total of 54 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, down from the total of 83 on the prior session. On the Featured Stocks Page there were gains from 15 of the 21 high-ranked market leaders.

 

The path of least resistance for stocks remains higher. The market demonstrated resilience while economic reports suggested the recovery may be gaining momentum. Initial jobless claims in the U.S. dropped more than expected in the latest week, while fourth quarter non-farm productivity gained 2.6%, more than expected. Reports on the U.S. service economy and factory orders also surpassed expectations.

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke mentioned in a speech that stronger job creation is vital for a solid recovery.  A stronger dollar weighed on commodity producers. Energy, industrial, and mining stocks were among the weakest performers. Shares of retailers were on the rise. Gap Inc (GPS +4.2%) and Limited Brands Inc (LTD +7.4%) rallied after January sales at both retailers beat projections. Target Corp (TGT +1.12%) rose even after it reported January sales that missed expectations.

After the first positive January in four years, the stock market is off to the races in February while a strong rally remains in progress on Wall Street. This week the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 Index, and the Mid-Cap S&P 400 Index collectively hit new recovery highs. Be ready to check out the soon-to-be published February 2011 issue of CANSLIM.net News for a comprehensive overview of current market conditions, leading groups, and the most recent featured stocks.

PICTURED: The Nasdaq Composite index is consolidating above its recent lows and 50-day moving average line.


Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.

Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.


Retail And Defensive Groups Post Gains

Defensive groups were strong gainers on Thursday as the Gold & Silver Index ($XAU +2.35%) and Healthcare Index ($HMO +1.29%) were among the standout groups on the rise. The Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD -1.02%) slumped to a loss while the Bank Index ($BKX +0.24%) inched higher.  Energy-related shares were mixed again as the Integrated Oil Index ($XOI -0.81%) and Oil Services Index ($OSX +0.35%) moved opposite directions.  The Internet Index ($IIX +0.77%) led the tech sector, but the Biotechnology Index ($BTK -0.30%), Networking Index ($NWX -0.10%), and Semiconductor Index ($SOX -0.06%) collectively closed with small losses.

Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com

PICTURED: The Retail Index ($RLX +1.28%) remains under its 50-day moving average (DMA) line  after halting its slide today near its prior chart low.


Industry Index Symbol Close Change % Change YTD % Change
Oil Services $OSX  270.13 +0.95 +0.35% +10.20%
Healthcare $HMO  1,911.56 +24.27 +1.29% +12.98%
Integrated Oil $XOI  1,308.63 -10.63 -0.81% +7.87%
Semiconductor $SOX  453.66 -0.25 -0.06% +10.16%
Networking $NWX  300.36 -0.29 -0.10% +7.06%
Internet $IIX  321.55 +2.47 +0.77% +4.49%
Broker/Dealer $XBD  124.28 -1.29 -1.02% +2.28%
Retail $RLX  501.93 +6.34 +1.28% -1.27%
Gold & Silver $XAU  208.84 +4.80 +2.35% -7.83%
Bank $BKX  54.11 +0.13 +0.24% +3.64%
Biotech $BTK  1,289.43 -3.84 -0.30% -0.63%


Consolidation Following Damaging Dose Of Distributional Pressure

Ezcorp Inc (EZPW -$0.51 or -1.84% to $27.48) has seen quiet volume totals this week while consolidating near its 50-day moving average (DMA) line. After a recent spurt of damaging distributional losses on heavy volume triggered technical sell signals it managed to promptly repair a 50 DMA violation, a reassuring sign of institutional support. It is not near any sound base now and needs more time to potentially form a new base. Meanwhile its recent low ($25.56 on 1/25/11) defines an important support level to watch.

Its last appearance in this FSU section was on 12/29/10 with an annotated graph under the headline "Watch Extended Stocks For Secondary Buy Points" when we observed - "Disciplined investors avoid chasing extended stocks that have rallied from sound base patterns more than +5% above their prior chart highs.  Patience may allow for secondary buy points to develop which may be noted in the future."  Bullish action 1/14/11 was not considered a valid breakout because its orderly consolidation was below the minimum length for a proper base pattern.  Some may have confused the tight consolidation for an advanced "3-weeks tight" pattern, however prior gains after its earlier breakout were not substantial enough.  A proper 3-weeks tight base typically follows gains of 70-100% or more in the span of 9-16 weeks following an earlier technical breakout from a sound base pattern. 

EZPW had consolidated above prior highs then continued higher since it was show in this FSU section on 11/05/10 with an annotated graphs under the headline "Breakout Backed By Four Times Average Volume".  It gapped up then for a new 52-week high, rising from a 6-month cup shaped base without a proper handle. Earnings have remained above the +25% guideline in its quarterly comparisons versus the year ago period, satisfying the C criteria. It also has a strong annual earnings history (A criteria). The number of top-rated funds owning its shares rose waned from 389 in Jun '10 to 377 in Dec '10, a slightly negative sign with respect to the I criteria. EZPW was featured in yellow in the 11/05/10 mid-day report (read here) with pivot point cited based on its 52-week high plus ten cents. It had found support near its 200-day moving average (DMA) line and rebounded impressively since it was dropped from the Featured Stocks list on 5/07/10.


Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our staff of experts.
G - Previously featured in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the guidelines.

***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
BIDU - NASDAQ
Baidu Inc Ads
INTERNET - Internet Information Providers  
$118.50 +0.48
0.41%

$118.85

6,384,227
81.91% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 7,793,800
$119.21
-0.60%
2/1/2011 $117.74 PP = $112.08
MB = $117.68
Most Recent Note - 2/1/2011 12:58:52 PM
Y - Gapped up today, rising from a "double bottom" base pattern. Color code is changed to yellow with pivot point cited based upon its 12/07/10 high. It rebounded above its 50 DMA line in recent weeks. It stayed well above its 200 DMA line in the interim since it was dropped from the Featured Stocks list on 12/27/10.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/2/2011. Click here.

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CRUS - NASDAQ
Cirrus Logic Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Specialized  
$23.61 +1.11
4.92%

$23.82

8,690,300
254.43% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 3,415,600
$22.74
3.83%
1/28/2011 $20.69 PP = $19.17
MB = $20.13
Most Recent Note - 2/3/2011 12:40:05 PM
G - Getting extended from a sound base with a spurt of volume-driven gains. Disciplined investors do not chase extended stocks that are up more than +5% above a proper pivot point.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/28/2011. Click here.

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DECK - NASDAQ
Deckers Outdoor Corp
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES - Textile - Apparel Footwear  
$79.61 +3.07
4.00%

$79.91

1,458,863
76.45% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,908,200
$87.88
-9.41%
2/3/2011 $79.61 PP = $82.67
MB = $86.80
Most Recent Note - 2/3/2011 5:28:17 PM
Y - Rallied today with better (but still below average) volume for a close above its 50 DMA line, helping its outlook improve. Color code is changed to yellow with new pivot point cited based on its 1/11/11 high while forming a double bottom base pattern.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/26/2011. Click here.

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EZCH - NASDAQ
Ezchip Semiconductor Ltd
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Specialized  
$30.78 +0.22
0.72%

$30.98

194,995
65.19% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 299,100
$33.20
-7.29%
12/2/2010 $27.53 PP = $26.00
MB = $27.30
Most Recent Note - 2/1/2011 11:26:52 AM
G - Up today while still consolidating above its 50 DMA line and prior chart highs in the $29 area which now coincide defining important support to watch.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/21/2011. Click here.

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EZPW - NASDAQ
Ezcorp Inc Cl A
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$27.48 -0.52
-1.84%

$27.98

261,620
63.06% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 414,900
$29.94
-8.23%
11/5/2010 $24.02 PP = $23.85
MB = $25.04
Most Recent Note - 2/3/2011 6:52:02 PM
G - Quietly consolidating near its 50 DMA line, showing resilience after damaging distribution. It is not near any sound base, and its recent low ($25.56 on 1/25/11) defines an important support level now. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and an annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/3/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
FOSL - NASDAQ
Fossil Inc
CONSUMER DURABLES - Recreational Goods, Other  
$74.15 +1.33
1.83%

$74.75

632,837
88.11% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 718,200
$74.34
-0.26%
2/1/2011 $73.30 PP = $74.44
MB = $78.16
Most Recent Note - 2/3/2011 5:36:40 PM
Y - Hit a new 52-week high today with a gain on light volume, inching up from an orderly 8-week flat base. Color code was changed to yellow with new pivot point cited, however it may be considered a riskier "late-stage" base. Gains above its pivot with great volume conviction could confirm a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Recent chart low ($66.05 on 1/25/11) defines important support
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/12/2011. Click here.

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HMSY - NASDAQ
H M S Holdings Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Healthcare Information Service  
$65.65 +0.28
0.43%

$66.14

69,420
47.78% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 145,300
$67.42
-2.63%
11/19/2010 $61.89 PP = $63.01
MB = $66.16
Most Recent Note - 2/1/2011 4:38:31 PM
G - Today's gain with light volume helped it close back above its 50 DMA line and finish the session only -3.3% off its 52-week high. It is building a base-on-base type pattern, but its waning Relative Strength rank (now 70) has been noted as a concern.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/3/2011. Click here.

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JOBS - NASDAQ
Fifty One Job Inc Ads
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Staffing and; Outsourcing Service  
$57.74 +0.36
0.63%

$57.83

43,876
30.83% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 142,300
$61.28
-5.78%
10/13/2010 $42.07 PP = $40.60
MB = $42.63
Most Recent Note - 2/1/2011 10:54:01 AM
G - Rallying this week up from its 50 DMA line that defines important support. More damaging losses would raise concerns and trigger a technical sell signal.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 12/30/2010. Click here.

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LULU - NASDAQ
Lululemon Athletica
MANUFACTURING - Textile Manufacturing  
$72.01 +0.10
0.14%

$74.00

1,909,255
91.11% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,095,600
$74.60
-3.47%
1/26/2011 $68.11 PP = $74.70
MB = $78.44
Most Recent Note - 2/1/2011 10:56:34 AM
Y - Rallying toward its 52-week high today with an increase in volume. Subsequent gains to new highs with at least +50% above average volume may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal, meanwhile any breach of its recent low ($65.30) or its 50 DMA line may trigger a more worrisome sell signal.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/14/2011. Click here.

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MWIV - NASDAQ
M W I Veterinary Supply
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Instruments and; Supplies  
$64.36 +1.71
2.73%

$66.41

149,757
264.12% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 56,700
$67.13
-4.13%
11/4/2010 $61.79 PP = $59.60
MB = $62.58
Most Recent Note - 2/3/2011 1:23:55 PM
G - It is churning above average volume after a gap up today. Reported earnings +38% on +55% sales revenues for the quarter ended December 31, 2010. Consolidating within close striking range of its all-time high and perched above support at its nearby 50 DMA line. Sales revenues acceleration (bigger percentage increases sequentially) is a very reassuring sign. See the latest FSU analysis for details and an annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/2/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
NFLX - NASDAQ
Netflix Inc
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Music and Video Stores  
$211.49 +0.23
0.11%

$213.32

3,035,491
50.43% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 6,018,900
$218.00
-2.99%
1/10/2011 $187.88 PP = $209.34
MB = $219.81
Most Recent Note - 2/1/2011 4:41:57 PM
Y - Volume totals have cooled this week while stubbornly holding its ground following 2 consecutive volume-driven gains for new highs. A considerable gap up gain on 1/27/11 followed a strong quarterly earnings report and confirmed a technical buy signal.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/10/2011. Click here.

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NTAP - NASDAQ
Netapp Inc
COMPUTER HARDWARE - Data Storage Devices  
$57.01 -0.10
-0.18%

$57.61

2,426,810
51.18% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 4,741,300
$59.79
-4.65%
1/6/2011 $57.49 PP = $58.06
MB = $60.96
Most Recent Note - 2/1/2011 11:17:58 AM
G - Quiet gains this week have it trading up just above its 50 DMA line. More damaging losses below its recent chart low ($53.14 on 1/25/11) could raise greater concerns and trigger a more serious technical sell signal.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 12/27/2010. Click here.

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OPEN - NASDAQ
Opentable Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$83.76 +2.45
3.01%

$83.76

627,351
79.42% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 789,900
$83.47
0.35%
1/5/2011 $74.05 PP = $76.79
MB = $80.63
Most Recent Note - 2/3/2011 5:33:47 PM
G - Gain today with lighter than average volume led to a close well above its "max buy" level as it hit a new all-time high and closed strong (just 2 cents off the session high). Color code is changed to green because it is now extended from its prior base. Recent lows and its 50 DMA line define near-term chart support.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/5/2011. Click here.

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ORCL - NASDAQ
Oracle Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Application Software  
$32.99 -0.15
-0.46%

$33.16

17,600,887
62.18% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 28,308,500
$33.56
-1.70%
1/20/2011 $32.31 PP = $32.37
MB = $33.99
Most Recent Note - 2/1/2011 4:54:38 PM
Y - Rallied back above its latest pivot point and hit a new 52-week high today with above average volume behind its gain. Recent chart low $30.80 defines near-term support above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/7/2011. Click here.

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PAY - NYSE
Verifone Systems Inc
COMPUTER HARDWARE - Transaction Automation Systems  
$42.38 +0.47
1.12%

$42.41

766,381
49.44% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,550,200
$44.87
-5.55%
1/27/2011 $41.77 PP = $44.00
MB = $46.20
Most Recent Note - 2/3/2011 5:39:11 PM
Y - Today it posted a 3rd consecutive small gain on light volume, inching up from support at its 50 DMA line. Color code was changed to yellow when a new pivot point was recently cited based on its 52-week high plus ten cents. Subsequent gains with heavy volume may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/27/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
PCLN - NASDAQ
Priceline.Com Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$435.99 -1.20
-0.27%

$441.00

778,272
82.94% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 938,300
$444.95
-2.01%
11/1/2002 $399.55 PP = $428.20
MB = $449.61
Most Recent Note - 2/1/2011 4:58:18 PM
Y - Today it touched a new 52-week high while consolidating above its 50 DMA line and above its pivot point. Its 50 DMA line defines important support to watch.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/2/2011. Click here.

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RAX - NYSE
Rackspace Hosting Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and; Services  
$35.06 -0.62
-1.74%

$35.82

1,594,285
94.10% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,694,200
$36.53
-4.02%
1/10/2011 $22.84 PP = $32.76
MB = $34.40
Most Recent Note - 2/2/2011 1:26:28 PM
G - Up on higher volume today for a new all-time high. Found prompt support near its 50 DMA line recently after a 1/20/11 gap down completely negated its 1/11/11 technical breakout. Its recent low ($29.52 on 1/20/10) now defines important support to watch where subsequent violations would raise more serious concerns.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 12/31/2010. Click here.

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ROVI - NASDAQ
Rovi Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE andamp; SERVICES - Security Software andamp; Services  
$62.95 -1.01
-1.58%

$64.41

979,041
59.26% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,652,000
$69.50
-9.42%
10/29/2010 $49.99 PP = $53.10
MB = $55.76
Most Recent Note - 2/2/2011 4:48:18 PM
G - Closed near the session high with a 3rd consecutive gain today on lighter volume. Recently found support near its 50 DMA line after a couple of distribution days. The 1/10/11 low ($58.51) defines another near-term chart support level to watch.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/25/2011. Click here.

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TIBX - NASDAQ
Tibco Software Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Business Software and Services  
$24.07 +0.27
1.13%

$24.16

2,118,361
78.34% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,704,000
$24.41
-1.39%
2/1/2011 $24.35 PP = $22.18
MB = $23.29
Most Recent Note - 2/1/2011 2:08:15 PM
Y - Spiked to a new 52-week high today with heavy volume behind its considerable gain while rising from an orderly flat base. Color code is changed to yellow but it has quickly gotten extended from what may be considered a "late-stage" or riskier base. Previously noted its streak of 4 quarterly comparisons with +25% earnings (good C criteria) increases with good sales revenues growth. It also has a good annual earnings (A criteria) history, and leadership (L criteria) in the Computer Software - Database group is reassuring.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/2/2011. Click here.

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UA - NYSE
Under Armour Inc Cl A
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES - Textile - Apparel Clothing  
$60.26 +0.85
1.43%

$60.82

797,267
106.92% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 745,700
$60.98
-1.18%
1/27/2011 $58.31 PP = $56.99
MB = $59.84
Most Recent Note - 2/1/2011 4:32:46 PM
G - Small gain today with above average volume. It closed the session above its "max buy" level, and its color code is changed to green. As previously noted - "It may encounter resistance at its 52-week high, and it remains well off its 2007 all-time high ($73.40)."
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/1/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
ULTA - NASDAQ
Ulta Salon Cosm & Frag
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$38.95 +2.04
5.53%

$39.76

1,102,788
179.90% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 613,000
$38.76
0.49%
1/6/2011 $36.12 PP = $37.34
MB = $39.21
Most Recent Note - 2/3/2011 12:13:29 PM
Y - Hitting a new 52-week high today with inspiration from a competitor's encouraging report, trading near its "max buy" level, yet volume conviction behind its rise this week has not been strong. As previously noted - "Subsequent volume-driven gains above its pivot point would be a very reassuring sign. Its 50 DMA line defines important chart support to watch."
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/6/2011. Click here.

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